Segunda Division, round 13 · Monday, 9 November, 22:30 (UTC+3)

Sabadell — Real Sociedad B

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Model prediction for 9 November

Sabadell51%

Draw27%

Real Sociedad B22%

Model estimate at 06:09 (UTC+3)

In short

Sabadell are clear favourites: 51% against 22% for the opponent, draw 27%.

2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 49%.

Why

By the strength ratings Sabadell are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Sabadell are 178 points higher on Elo.

Facts

League table: Sabadell — No. 10, 17 pts; Real Sociedad B — No. 18, 11 pts. A gap of 6 pts.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Sabadell — Real Sociedad B What is xG?		1.6–0.9
Sabadell not to lose		78%
Real Sociedad B not to lose		49%
No draw		73%
Both teams to score: yes		49%
Both teams to score: no		51%
Total over 2.5		45%
Total under 2.5		55%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Sabadell
Sabadell goals
Real Sociedad B goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

Stat	Sabadell	Real Sociedad B
Goals scored per match	1.2	1.3
Goals conceded per match	1.1	2.0
xG per match	1.46	1.40
Opponents’ xG	1.09	1.55
Shots	15.3	14.0
On target	4.4	4.3
Corners	5.2	4.5
Cards	2.8	3.3
Possession, %	47	45

Averages per match: Sabadell — the last 10, Real Sociedad B — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Sabadell

31.10away · Albacete1:2
25.10Tenerife1:1
18.10away · Burgos CF0:1
10.10away · AD Ceuta FC2:1
04.10FC Andorra0:0

Real Sociedad B

31.10Girona1:0
24.10away · Las Palmas0:1
17.10Almería2:4
10.10away · Celta Fortuna1:4
04.10Granada2:3

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
9	Real Oviedo	12	5	3	4	17–15	+2	18
10	Sabadell	12	4	5	3	12–11	+1	17
11	Las Palmas	12	5	2	5	17–21	-4	17
17	Leganés	12	3	3	6	10–20	-10	12
18	Real Sociedad B	12	3	2	7	15–22	-7	11
19, Relegation	Cádiz	12	2	4	6	15–16	-1	10

Season 2026/27

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →