Coupe de France, round 6 · Wednesday, 28 October, (UTC+3)
Siroco — AS Gosier
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
3:1Came true
In short
Final score 3:1: the model's most likely outcome, Siroco to win (38%), came true.
Evenly matched: Siroco 38%, AS Gosier 35%, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Siroco are 66 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Siroco — AS Gosier What is xG? | 1.4–1.3 | |
| Siroco not to lose | 65% | |
| AS Gosier not to lose | 62% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Siroco
- Siroco goals
- AS Gosier goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 20.12Lorient0:7
- 29.11CMS Oissel2:2
- 15.11away · CS Le Moule3:2
- 31.10Dynamo Le Moule3:1
- 14.11away · Solidarité Scolaire1:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Coupe de France on the same day
- 3527382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →