Coupe de France, round 6 · Wednesday, 28 October, (UTC+3)
US Baie-Mahault — AC de Petit-Bourg
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
In short
Evenly matched: US Baie-Mahault 35%, AC de Petit-Bourg 38%, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: US Baie-Mahault — AC de Petit-Bourg What is xG? | 1.3–1.4 | |
| US Baie-Mahault not to lose | 62% | |
| AC de Petit-Bourg not to lose | 65% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap US Baie-Mahault
- US Baie-Mahault goals
- AC de Petit-Bourg goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 26.10away · CS Le Moule1:2
- 23.11away · CS Le Moule1:3
- 30.10away · Etoile de Morne-a-l-Eau1:1
No past matches in the data yet.
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Coupe de France on the same day
- 3827351The most likely outcome came true: 13:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →