French Ligue 2, round 13 · Monday, 23 November, (UTC+3)
Sochaux — Dunkerque
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Sochaux are slightly stronger: 39% against 31%, draw 29%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 58%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Sochaux are 72 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Sochaux — No. 13, 11 pts; Dunkerque — No. 12, 12 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Sochaux: 3 defeats in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sochaux — Dunkerque What is xG? | 1.4–1.3 | |
| Sochaux not to lose | 69% | |
| Dunkerque not to lose | 61% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Sochaux
- Sochaux goals
- Dunkerque goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Sochaux | Dunkerque |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| xG per match | 1.17 | 1.01 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.71 | 1.70 |
| Shots | 11.2 | 11.1 |
| On target | 3.1 | 3.1 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 4.2 |
| Cards | 1.4 | 2.6 |
| Possession, % | 44 | 50 |
Form
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →