Peruvian Liga 1 · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
Sporting Cristal — Cienciano
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Sporting Cristal are clear favourites: 63% against 17% for the opponent, draw 20%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.3 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.
Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Sporting Cristal are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
- Sporting Cristal are 155 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Sporting Cristal 2 wins, Cienciano 1, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sporting Cristal — Cienciano What is xG? | 2.2–1.1 | |
| Sporting Cristal not to lose | 83% | |
| Cienciano not to lose | 37% | |
| No draw | 80% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 61% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 39% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Sporting Cristal
- Sporting Cristal goals
- Cienciano goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Sporting Cristal | Cienciano |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 2.5 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| xG per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots | 14.4 | 17.9 |
| On target | 5.3 | 5.2 |
| Corners | 6.0 | 5.8 |
| Cards | 2.2 | 3.1 |
| Possession, % | 53 | 52 |
Form
- 02.11FC Cajamarca5:0
- 29.10Alianza Lima3:2
- 24.10away · Cusco FC1:3
- 18.10Comerciantes Unidos4:2
- 11.10away · UTC Cajamarca1:0
- 04.11away · Alianza Lima0:1
- 29.10Atlético Grau3:0
- 25.10away · Comerciantes Unidos1:3
- 19.10UTC Cajamarca1:0
- 08.10away · Deportivo Moquegua2:0
Head to head
- 01.06.2026Cienciano — Sporting Cristal3:2
- 07.11.2025Sporting Cristal — Cienciano2:1
- 05.07.2025Cienciano — Sporting Cristal1:1
- 27.07.2024Sporting Cristal — Cienciano5:1
- 10.02.2024Cienciano — Sporting Cristal2:2
Peruvian Liga 1 on the same day
- Sport HuancayoUniversitariopreliminary3127412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- Alianza LimaFC Cajamarcapreliminary87941The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →