Paraguayan Primera Division · Monday, 9 November, (UTC+3)
Sportivo San Lorenzo — Rubio Ñú
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 9 November
In short
Rubio Ñú are clear favourites: 46% against 24% for the opponent, draw 30%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.4).
Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Rubio Ñú are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
- In recent matches the betting market rated Rubio Ñú higher than the model did — the forecast takes it into account.
Facts
- Last 3 meetings: Sportivo San Lorenzo 0 wins, Rubio Ñú 3.
- Days of rest before the match: Sportivo San Lorenzo 5, Rubio Ñú 9.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sportivo San Lorenzo — Rubio Ñú What is xG? | 1.0–1.4 | |
| Sportivo San Lorenzo not to lose | 54% | |
| Rubio Ñú not to lose | 76% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 46% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 54% |
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- Rubio Ñú goals
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Sportivo San Lorenzo | Rubio Ñú |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| xG per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots | 12.7 | 14.9 |
| On target | 4.1 | 4.5 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 4.5 |
| Cards | 2.6 | 2.5 |
| Possession, % | 37 | 42 |
Form
- 04.11away · Nacional (PAR)2:0
- 01.11Libertad2:1
- 26.10Cerro Porteño1:3
- 19.10away · Luqueño2:3
- 10.10Sportivo Trinidense1:1
- 31.10away · Sportivo Trinidense4:2
- 23.10Guaraní0:2
- 17.10away · Recoleta0:1
- 11.10Olimpia0:0
- 06.10away · Sportivo Ameliano2:1
Head to head
- 01.09.2026Rubio Ñú — Sportivo San Lorenzo3:1
- 27.04.2026Sportivo San Lorenzo — Rubio Ñú0:1
- 27.02.2026Rubio Ñú — Sportivo San Lorenzo2:0
Paraguayan Primera on the same day
- 5228211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →