Sportivo Trinidense — Sportivo Ameliano
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 9 November
In short
Sportivo Trinidense are clear favourites: 52% against 21% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.4).
Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Sportivo Trinidense are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
- Sportivo Trinidense are 186 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Sportivo Ameliano: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Sportivo Trinidense 3 wins, Sportivo Ameliano 0, 2 draws.
- Days of rest before the match: Sportivo Trinidense 6, Sportivo Ameliano 9.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sportivo Trinidense — Sportivo Ameliano What is xG? | 1.6–0.9 | |
| Sportivo Trinidense not to lose | 79% | |
| Sportivo Ameliano not to lose | 48% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 46% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 54% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Sportivo Trinidense
- Sportivo Trinidense goals
- Sportivo Ameliano goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Sportivo Trinidense | Sportivo Ameliano |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| xG per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots | 14.4 | 13.3 |
| On target | 4.2 | 4.7 |
| Corners | 6.5 | 4.4 |
| Cards | 1.9 | 2.3 |
| Possession, % | 42 | 54 |
Form
- 03.11away · 2 de Mayo0:0
- 31.10Rubio Ñú2:4
- 24.10away · Nacional (PAR)1:0
- 19.10Libertad1:0
- 10.10away · Sportivo San Lorenzo1:1
- 31.10away · Recoleta0:3
- 25.10Olimpia2:3
- 18.10away · Cerro Porteño2:2
- 12.10away · 2 de Mayo0:1
- 06.10Rubio Ñú1:2
Head to head
- 02.09.2026Sportivo Ameliano — Sportivo Trinidense0:3
- 24.05.2026Sportivo Ameliano — Sportivo Trinidense1:2
- 20.03.2026Sportivo Trinidense — Sportivo Ameliano1:1
- 26.11.2025Sportivo Ameliano — Sportivo Trinidense0:0
- 09.09.2025Sportivo Trinidense — Sportivo Ameliano1:0
Paraguayan Primera on the same day
- 2430462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →