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Paraguayan Primera Division · Monday, 9 November, (UTC+3)

Sportivo Trinidense — Sportivo Ameliano

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Model prediction for 9 November

Sportivo Trinidense52%
Draw28%
Sportivo Ameliano21%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Sportivo Trinidense are clear favourites: 52% against 21% for the opponent, draw 28%.

2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.4).

Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 51%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Sportivo Trinidense are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
  • Sportivo Trinidense are 186 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • Sportivo Ameliano: winless in 5.
  • Last 5 meetings: Sportivo Trinidense 3 wins, Sportivo Ameliano 0, 2 draws.
  • Days of rest before the match: Sportivo Trinidense 6, Sportivo Ameliano 9.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Sportivo Trinidense — Sportivo Ameliano What is xG?1.6–0.9
Sportivo Trinidense not to lose79%
Sportivo Ameliano not to lose48%
No draw72%
Both teams to score: yes51%
Both teams to score: no49%
Total over 2.546%
Total under 2.554%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Sportivo Trinidense
  • Sportivo Trinidense goals
  • Sportivo Ameliano goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatSportivo TrinidenseSportivo Ameliano
Goals scored per match1.41.0
Goals conceded per match1.21.7
xG per match0.000.00
Opponents’ xG0.000.00
Shots14.413.3
On target4.24.7
Corners6.54.4
Cards1.92.3
Possession, %4254

Averages per match: Sportivo Trinidense — the last 10, Sportivo Ameliano — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Sportivo Trinidense

  • 03.11away · 2 de Mayo0:0
  • 31.10Rubio Ñú2:4
  • 24.10away · Nacional (PAR)1:0
  • 19.10Libertad1:0
  • 10.10away · Sportivo San Lorenzo1:1

Sportivo Ameliano

  • 31.10away · Recoleta0:3
  • 25.10Olimpia2:3
  • 18.10away · Cerro Porteño2:2
  • 12.10away · 2 de Mayo0:1
  • 06.10Rubio Ñú1:2

Head to head

  • 02.09.2026Sportivo Ameliano — Sportivo Trinidense0:3
  • 24.05.2026Sportivo Ameliano — Sportivo Trinidense1:2
  • 20.03.2026Sportivo Trinidense — Sportivo Ameliano1:1
  • 26.11.2025Sportivo Ameliano — Sportivo Trinidense0:0
  • 09.09.2025Sportivo Trinidense — Sportivo Ameliano1:0

Full record: 15 meetings →

Paraguayan Primera on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →