Ukrainian Premier League, round 12 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Zorya — LNZ Cherkasy
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In short
Evenly matched: Zorya 35%, LNZ Cherkasy 32%, draw 33%.
The model expects few goals: 2.1 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 37%, both teams to score — 45%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Zorya — No. 6, 18 pts; LNZ Cherkasy — No. 7, 15 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Zorya: unbeaten in 4.
- Last 5 meetings: Zorya 0 wins, LNZ Cherkasy 3, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Zorya — LNZ Cherkasy What is xG? | 1.1–1.0 | |
| Zorya not to lose | 68% | |
| LNZ Cherkasy not to lose | 65% | |
| No draw | 67% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 55% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 37% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 63% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Zorya
- Zorya goals
- LNZ Cherkasy goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Zorya | LNZ Cherkasy |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| xG per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots | 10.8 | 7.5 |
| On target | 4.4 | 3.5 |
| Corners | 5.0 | 3.7 |
| Cards | 2.1 | 1.9 |
| Possession, % | 51 | 41 |
Form
- 02.11Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi1:0
- 24.10away · Shakhtar Donetsk0:0
- 17.10Chornomorets Odesa2:1
- 12.10away · Liviy Bereh3:1
- 19.09Dynamo Kyiv0:2
- 24.10away · Liviy Bereh0:0
- 18.10away · Kryvbas3:0
- 11.10Kudrivka2:1
- 20.09away · Shakhtar Donetsk0:3
- 12.09Obolon Kyiv3:1
Head to head
- 13.12.2025LNZ Cherkasy — Zorya2:0
- 02.08.2025Zorya — LNZ Cherkasy0:0
- 04.05.2025LNZ Cherkasy — Zorya1:1
- 04.11.2024Zorya — LNZ Cherkasy1:2
- 19.05.2024LNZ Cherkasy — Zorya2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Karpaty | 11 | 5 | +14 | 19 |
| 6 | Zorya | 11 | 5 | 0 | 18 |
| 7 | LNZ Cherkasy | 10 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 | FC Kolos Kovalivka | 9 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
Ukrainian Premier League on the same day
- 293437XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:01.9
- 5825171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 35% will not happen in roughly 65 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →