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NHL · Monday, 16 November, (UTC+3)

Anaheim Ducks — Calgary Flames

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Model prediction for 16 November

Anaheim Ducks46%
Draw in regulation21%
Calgary Flames32%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Anaheim Ducks are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects plenty of goals: 6.6 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 71%.

Why

  • Anaheim Ducks are more dangerous in attack: 3.5 expected goals against 3.1.

Facts

  • League table: Anaheim Ducks — No. 23, 15 pts; Calgary Flames — No. 25, 14 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Last 5 meetings: Anaheim Ducks 3 wins, Calgary Flames 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Anaheim Ducks — Calgary Flames3.5–3.1
Anaheim Ducks to win (incl. OT and shootout)58%
Calgary Flames to win (incl. OT and shootout)42%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)71%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)29%

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Form

Anaheim Ducks

  • 04.11away · Vancouver Canucks5:4
  • 02.11Ottawa Senators6:3
  • 30.10Buffalo Sabres6:7
  • 28.10Vancouver Canucks5:6 OT
  • 24.10away · Philadelphia Flyers5:4

Calgary Flames

  • 03.11away · San Jose Sharks2:1
  • 01.11away · Colorado Avalanche2:5
  • 31.10Seattle Kraken6:2
  • 29.10away · Edmonton Oilers0:4
  • 27.10Toronto Maple Leafs5:2

Head to head

  • 14.10.2026Anaheim Ducks — Calgary Flames2:4
  • 11.10.2026Calgary Flames — Anaheim Ducks2:4
  • 05.04.2026Anaheim Ducks — Calgary Flames3:5
  • 27.03.2026Calgary Flames — Anaheim Ducks2:3 OT
  • 02.03.2026Anaheim Ducks — Calgary Flames3:2 SO

Full record: 24 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
22St. Louis Blues1571745–45015
23Anaheim Ducks1571754–57-315
24San Jose Sharks1671842–54-1215
25Calgary Flames1570838–53-1514
26Winnipeg Jets1653839–58-1913

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →