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NHL · Monday, 16 November, (UTC+3)

Dallas Stars — Florida Panthers

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Model prediction for 16 November

Dallas Stars42%
Draw in regulation23%
Florida Panthers34%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Dallas Stars are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.

Why

  • Dallas Stars are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.6.

Facts

  • League table: Dallas Stars — No. 11, 19 pts; Florida Panthers — No. 14, 18 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Last 5 meetings: Dallas Stars 0 wins, Florida Panthers 5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Dallas Stars — Florida Panthers2.8–2.6
Dallas Stars to win (incl. OT and shootout)55%
Florida Panthers to win (incl. OT and shootout)45%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)52%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)48%

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  • Dallas Stars goals
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Form

Dallas Stars

  • 04.11away · Washington Capitals6:5
  • 01.11Columbus Blue Jackets3:1
  • 30.10Montreal Canadiens2:5
  • 28.10New Jersey Devils1:5
  • 26.10New York Islanders6:3

Florida Panthers

  • 03.11Detroit Red Wings3:5
  • 31.10Winnipeg Jets5:2
  • 28.10away · Winnipeg Jets5:1
  • 25.10away · Chicago Blackhawks3:2
  • 23.10away · Pittsburgh Penguins0:4

Head to head

  • 14.12.2025Dallas Stars — Florida Panthers0:4
  • 02.11.2025Florida Panthers — Dallas Stars4:3 SO
  • 02.11.2024Florida Panthers — Dallas Stars4:2
  • 01.11.2024Dallas Stars — Florida Panthers4:6
  • 13.03.2024Dallas Stars — Florida Panthers3:4

Full record: 19 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
10, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionColorado Avalanche1691666–53+1319
11, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceDallas Stars1591544–36+819
12, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceOttawa Senators1691652–51+119
13, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceToronto Maple Leafs1782762–56+618
14Florida Panthers1582547–44+318
15, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionNew York Rangers1681748–47+117

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →