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NHL · Monday, 16 November, (UTC+3)

Philadelphia Flyers — Edmonton Oilers

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Model prediction for 16 November

Philadelphia Flyers32%
Draw in regulation23%
Edmonton Oilers45%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Edmonton Oilers are favourites: 57% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 58%.

Why

  • Edmonton Oilers are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.7.

Facts

  • League table: Philadelphia Flyers — No. 29, 12 pts; Edmonton Oilers — No. 2, 25 pts. A gap of 13 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Philadelphia Flyers 2 wins, Edmonton Oilers 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Philadelphia Flyers — Edmonton Oilers2.7–3.1
Philadelphia Flyers to win (incl. OT and shootout)43%
Edmonton Oilers to win (incl. OT and shootout)57%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)58%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)42%

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Form

Philadelphia Flyers

  • 04.11Minnesota Wild2:4
  • 02.11Utah Mammoth6:3
  • 29.10away · Washington Capitals2:5
  • 28.10Columbus Blue Jackets3:4 OT
  • 24.10Anaheim Ducks4:5

Edmonton Oilers

  • 04.11away · New Jersey Devils3:4 SO
  • 02.11away · New York Rangers4:1
  • 31.10away · New York Islanders4:0
  • 29.10Calgary Flames4:0
  • 27.10Detroit Red Wings3:4 SO

Head to head

  • 03.01.2026Edmonton Oilers — Philadelphia Flyers2:5
  • 13.11.2025Philadelphia Flyers — Edmonton Oilers1:2 OT
  • 22.02.2025Philadelphia Flyers — Edmonton Oilers6:3
  • 16.10.2024Edmonton Oilers — Philadelphia Flyers4:3 OT
  • 03.01.2024Edmonton Oilers — Philadelphia Flyers5:2

Full record: 11 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionCarolina Hurricanes17122364–40+2426
2, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionEdmonton Oilers16113267–48+1925
3, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionMinnesota Wild17113356–38+1825
28Columbus Blue Jackets1360736–41-512
29Philadelphia Flyers1744937–58-2112
30Los Angeles Kings1342736–45-910

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →