NHL · Monday, 16 November, (UTC+3)
Vegas Golden Knights — Vancouver Canucks
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Vegas Golden Knights are clear favourites: 72% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 57%.
Why
- Vegas Golden Knights are more dangerous in attack: 3.5 expected goals against 2.2.
Facts
- League table: Vegas Golden Knights — No. 5, 22 pts; Vancouver Canucks — No. 32, 7 pts. A gap of 15 pts.
- Vancouver Canucks: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Vegas Golden Knights 5 wins, Vancouver Canucks 0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Vegas Golden Knights — Vancouver Canucks | 3.5–2.2 | |
| Vegas Golden Knights to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 72% | |
| Vancouver Canucks to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 28% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 57% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 43% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Vegas Golden Knights
- Vegas Golden Knights goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 04.11away · Pittsburgh Penguins3:2
- 03.11away · Boston Bruins2:3 SO
- 31.10New Jersey Devils2:5
- 28.10Ottawa Senators4:1
- 25.10away · Columbus Blue Jackets1:2 OT
- 04.11Anaheim Ducks4:5
- 01.11Toronto Maple Leafs2:4
- 30.10away · San Jose Sharks2:3
- 28.10away · Anaheim Ducks6:5 OT
- 26.10Minnesota Wild2:4
Head to head
- 05.10.2026Vancouver Canucks — Vegas Golden Knights2:3
- 08.04.2026Vancouver Canucks — Vegas Golden Knights1:2
- 31.03.2026Vegas Golden Knights — Vancouver Canucks4:2
- 05.02.2026Vegas Golden Knights — Vancouver Canucks5:2
- 17.04.2025Vancouver Canucks — Vegas Golden Knights1:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Boston Bruins | 16 | 11 | +20 | 23 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Vegas Golden Knights | 17 | 10 | +9 | 22 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Montreal Canadiens | 15 | 9 | +5 | 21 |
| 31 | Chicago Blackhawks | 15 | 4 | -25 | 9 |
| 32 | Vancouver Canucks | 17 | 3 | -26 | 7 |
NHL on the same day
- Philadelphia FlyersEdmonton Oilerspreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:55.8
- Anaheim DucksCalgary Flamespreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 5:26.6
- Dallas StarsFlorida Pantherspreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.4
- San Jose SharksNashville Predatorspreliminary38622The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:55.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →