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NHL · Monday, 9 November, (UTC+3)

Anaheim Ducks — Pittsburgh Penguins

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Model prediction for 9 November

Anaheim Ducks45%
Draw in regulation22%
Pittsburgh Penguins34%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Anaheim Ducks are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects plenty of goals: 6.6 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 70%.

Why

  • Anaheim Ducks are more dangerous in attack: 3.5 expected goals against 3.1.

Facts

  • League table: Anaheim Ducks — No. 23, 15 pts; Pittsburgh Penguins — No. 27, 12 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
  • Pittsburgh Penguins: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Anaheim Ducks 3 wins, Pittsburgh Penguins 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Anaheim Ducks — Pittsburgh Penguins3.5–3.1
Anaheim Ducks to win (incl. OT and shootout)56%
Pittsburgh Penguins to win (incl. OT and shootout)44%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)70%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)30%

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  • Totals incl. OT
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  • Anaheim Ducks goals
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Form

Anaheim Ducks

  • 04.11away · Vancouver Canucks5:4
  • 02.11Ottawa Senators6:3
  • 30.10Buffalo Sabres6:7
  • 28.10Vancouver Canucks5:6 OT
  • 24.10away · Philadelphia Flyers5:4

Pittsburgh Penguins

  • 04.11Vegas Golden Knights2:3
  • 01.11away · Montreal Canadiens4:5
  • 30.10Utah Mammoth3:4 OT
  • 25.10Nashville Predators3:2 OT
  • 23.10Florida Panthers4:0

Head to head

  • 10.12.2025Pittsburgh Penguins — Anaheim Ducks3:4 SO
  • 15.10.2025Anaheim Ducks — Pittsburgh Penguins4:3
  • 24.01.2025Anaheim Ducks — Pittsburgh Penguins5:1
  • 01.11.2024Pittsburgh Penguins — Anaheim Ducks2:1 OT
  • 08.11.2023Anaheim Ducks — Pittsburgh Penguins0:2

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
22St. Louis Blues1571745–45015
23Anaheim Ducks1571754–57-315
24San Jose Sharks1671842–54-1215
26Winnipeg Jets1653839–58-1913
27Pittsburgh Penguins1552849–52-312
28Columbus Blue Jackets1360736–41-512

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →