NHL · Monday, 9 November, (UTC+3)
Toronto Maple Leafs — New Jersey Devils
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 9 November
In short
New Jersey Devils are favourites: 57% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects plenty of goals: 6.7 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 71%.
Why
- New Jersey Devils are more dangerous in attack: 3.5 expected goals against 3.1.
Facts
- League table: Toronto Maple Leafs — No. 13, 18 pts; New Jersey Devils — No. 7, 20 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Toronto Maple Leafs 3 wins, New Jersey Devils 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Toronto Maple Leafs — New Jersey Devils | 3.1–3.5 | |
| Toronto Maple Leafs to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 43% | |
| New Jersey Devils to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 57% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 71% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 29% |
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- Toronto Maple Leafs goals
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Form
- 04.11Utah Mammoth2:3
- 01.11away · Vancouver Canucks4:2
- 29.10away · Seattle Kraken4:5
- 27.10away · Calgary Flames2:5
- 25.10away · Edmonton Oilers7:2
- 04.11Edmonton Oilers4:3 SO
- 31.10away · Vegas Golden Knights5:2
- 29.10away · Colorado Avalanche2:5
- 28.10away · Dallas Stars5:1
- 24.10Los Angeles Kings3:1
Head to head
- 05.03.2026New Jersey Devils — Toronto Maple Leafs4:3 SO
- 31.12.2025Toronto Maple Leafs — New Jersey Devils4:0
- 22.10.2025Toronto Maple Leafs — New Jersey Devils2:5
- 17.01.2025Toronto Maple Leafs — New Jersey Devils4:3 OT
- 11.12.2024New Jersey Devils — Toronto Maple Leafs1:2 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Montreal Canadiens | 15 | 9 | +5 | 21 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | New Jersey Devils | 15 | 10 | +9 | 20 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Tampa Bay Lightning | 14 | 9 | +7 | 20 |
| 12, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Ottawa Senators | 16 | 9 | +1 | 19 |
| 13, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Toronto Maple Leafs | 17 | 8 | +6 | 18 |
| 14 | Florida Panthers | 15 | 8 | +3 | 18 |
NHL on the same day
- 50502The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:55.9
- 51491The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.0
- 56441The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:26.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →