NHL · Monday, 9 November, (UTC+3)
Calgary Flames — Philadelphia Flyers
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 9 November
In short
Close to a coin flip: Calgary Flames 51%, Philadelphia Flyers 49% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 5.0 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 44%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.5 and 2.5.
Facts
- League table: Calgary Flames — No. 25, 14 pts; Philadelphia Flyers — No. 29, 12 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Calgary Flames 4 wins, Philadelphia Flyers 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Calgary Flames — Philadelphia Flyers | 2.5–2.5 | |
| Calgary Flames to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| Philadelphia Flyers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 44% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 56% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Calgary Flames
- Calgary Flames goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 03.11away · San Jose Sharks2:1
- 01.11away · Colorado Avalanche2:5
- 31.10Seattle Kraken6:2
- 29.10away · Edmonton Oilers0:4
- 27.10Toronto Maple Leafs5:2
- 04.11Minnesota Wild2:4
- 02.11Utah Mammoth6:3
- 29.10away · Washington Capitals2:5
- 28.10Columbus Blue Jackets3:4 OT
- 24.10Anaheim Ducks4:5
Head to head
- 01.01.2026Calgary Flames — Philadelphia Flyers5:1
- 03.11.2025Philadelphia Flyers — Calgary Flames1:2
- 05.03.2025Philadelphia Flyers — Calgary Flames3:6
- 13.10.2024Calgary Flames — Philadelphia Flyers6:3
- 06.01.2024Philadelphia Flyers — Calgary Flames3:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | San Jose Sharks | 16 | 7 | -12 | 15 |
| 25 | Calgary Flames | 15 | 7 | -15 | 14 |
| 26 | Winnipeg Jets | 16 | 5 | -19 | 13 |
| 28 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 13 | 6 | -5 | 12 |
| 29 | Philadelphia Flyers | 17 | 4 | -21 | 12 |
| 30 | Los Angeles Kings | 13 | 4 | -9 | 10 |
NHL on the same day
- 50502The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:55.9
- 43572The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:56.7
- 56441The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:26.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →