NHL · Monday, 9 November, (UTC+3)
Winnipeg Jets — Tampa Bay Lightning
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 9 November
In short
Close to a coin flip: Winnipeg Jets 50%, Tampa Bay Lightning 50% including overtime.
5.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 60%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.9 and 2.9.
Facts
- League table: Winnipeg Jets — No. 26, 13 pts; Tampa Bay Lightning — No. 8, 20 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Winnipeg Jets 2 wins, Tampa Bay Lightning 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Winnipeg Jets — Tampa Bay Lightning | 2.9–2.9 | |
| Winnipeg Jets to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 50% | |
| Tampa Bay Lightning to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 50% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 60% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 40% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Winnipeg Jets
- Winnipeg Jets goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 04.11away · Montreal Canadiens5:4 OT
- 01.11away · Carolina Hurricanes0:7
- 31.10away · Florida Panthers2:5
- 30.10away · Tampa Bay Lightning4:6
- 28.10Florida Panthers1:5
- 04.11Detroit Red Wings4:2
- 31.10away · Nashville Predators4:5 SO
- 30.10Winnipeg Jets6:4
- 25.10away · Utah Mammoth4:5 OT
- 24.10away · Colorado Avalanche3:6
Head to head
- 30.10.2026Tampa Bay Lightning — Winnipeg Jets6:4
- 06.03.2026Winnipeg Jets — Tampa Bay Lightning4:1
- 30.01.2026Tampa Bay Lightning — Winnipeg Jets4:1
- 15.11.2024Tampa Bay Lightning — Winnipeg Jets4:1
- 03.11.2024Winnipeg Jets — Tampa Bay Lightning7:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | New Jersey Devils | 15 | 10 | +9 | 20 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Tampa Bay Lightning | 14 | 9 | +7 | 20 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Utah Mammoth | 16 | 10 | +3 | 20 |
| 25 | Calgary Flames | 15 | 7 | -15 | 14 |
| 26 | Winnipeg Jets | 16 | 5 | -19 | 13 |
| 27 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 15 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
NHL on the same day
- 51491The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.0
- 43572The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:56.7
- 56441The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:26.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →