AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
Bakersfield Condors — Henderson Silver Knights
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Henderson Silver Knights are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.5 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.9.
Facts
- League table: Bakersfield Condors — No. 29, 7 pts; Henderson Silver Knights — No. 10, 12 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Bakersfield Condors 1 win, Henderson Silver Knights 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bakersfield Condors — Henderson Silver Knights | 2.6–2.9 | |
| Bakersfield Condors to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 46% | |
| Henderson Silver Knights to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 54% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 52% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Bakersfield Condors
- Bakersfield Condors goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 02.11away · San Jose Barracuda2:3 OT
- 31.10Abbotsford Canucks1:5
- 25.10away · Colorado Eagles4:1
- 24.10away · Colorado Eagles1:4
- 18.10Calgary Wranglers3:4
- 01.11away · San Diego Gulls3:2 OT
- 31.10away · Coachella Valley Firebirds1:5
- 29.10Ontario Reign4:1
- 25.10Tucson Roadrunners1:4
- 24.10Tucson Roadrunners2:1 OT
Head to head
- 05.10.2026Henderson Silver Knights — Bakersfield Condors1:3
- 04.10.2026Henderson Silver Knights — Bakersfield Condors4:3
- 15.04.2026Henderson Silver Knights — Bakersfield Condors3:2 OT
- 29.01.2026Henderson Silver Knights — Bakersfield Condors2:1 OT
- 11.12.2025Bakersfield Condors — Henderson Silver Knights2:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Colorado Eagles | 11 | 6 | +5 | 14 | .636 |
| 10 | Henderson Silver Knights | 10 | 6 | +2 | 12 | .600 |
| 11 | Cleveland Monsters | 10 | 6 | -1 | 12 | .600 |
| 28 | San Jose Barracuda | 10 | 4 | -12 | 8 | .400 |
| 29 | Bakersfield Condors | 9 | 3 | -5 | 7 | .389 |
| 30 | Iowa Wild | 12 | 3 | -8 | 9 | .375 |
AHL on the same day
- Hartford Wolf PackMilwaukee Admiralspreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:34.9
- Wilkes-Barre/ScrantonRochester Americanspreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.8
- Cleveland MonstersUtica Cometspreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- Syracuse CrunchBelleville Senatorspreliminary62381The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.6
- Lehigh Valley PhantomsHershey Bearspreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.6
- Providence BruinsCharlotte Checkerspreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
- Abbotsford CanucksTucson Roadrunnerspreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- Texas StarsSan Jose Barracudapreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:46.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →