AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
Lehigh Valley Phantoms — Hershey Bears
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Hershey Bears are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 53%.
Why
- Hershey Bears are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.6.
Facts
- League table: Lehigh Valley Phantoms — No. 25, 9 pts; Hershey Bears — No. 12, 12 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Lehigh Valley Phantoms 5 wins, Hershey Bears 0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lehigh Valley Phantoms — Hershey Bears | 2.6–3.0 | |
| Lehigh Valley Phantoms to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 41% | |
| Hershey Bears to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 59% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 53% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 47% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Lehigh Valley Phantoms
- Lehigh Valley Phantoms goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 01.11Providence Bruins0:8
- 31.10away · Rochester Americans3:6
- 25.10Belleville Senators2:0
- 25.10Syracuse Crunch2:7
- 18.10away · Springfield Thunderbirds3:2 OT
- 02.11Wilkes-Barre/Scranton0:5
- 31.10away · Toronto Marlies3:5
- 29.10away · Rochester Americans3:2
- 25.10Belleville Senators5:2
- 18.10Providence Bruins1:6
Head to head
- 29.03.2026Lehigh Valley Phantoms — Hershey Bears4:2
- 22.02.2026Hershey Bears — Lehigh Valley Phantoms4:6
- 21.02.2026Hershey Bears — Lehigh Valley Phantoms1:4
- 25.01.2026Lehigh Valley Phantoms — Hershey Bears4:3 OT
- 31.12.2025Lehigh Valley Phantoms — Hershey Bears3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Cleveland Monsters | 10 | 6 | -1 | 12 | .600 |
| 12 | Hershey Bears | 10 | 6 | -2 | 12 | .600 |
| 13 | Toronto Marlies | 11 | 6 | +1 | 13 | .591 |
| 24 | Ontario Reign | 11 | 5 | -9 | 10 | .455 |
| 25 | Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 10 | 4 | -14 | 9 | .450 |
| 26 | Springfield Thunderbirds | 10 | 3 | -8 | 9 | .450 |
AHL on the same day
- Hartford Wolf PackMilwaukee Admiralspreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:34.9
- Wilkes-Barre/ScrantonRochester Americanspreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.8
- Cleveland MonstersUtica Cometspreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- Syracuse CrunchBelleville Senatorspreliminary62381The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.6
- Providence BruinsCharlotte Checkerspreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
- Abbotsford CanucksTucson Roadrunnerspreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- Texas StarsSan Jose Barracudapreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:46.3
- Colorado EaglesGrand Rapids Griffinspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →