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AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton — Rochester Americans

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 22 November

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton45%
Draw in regulation21%
Rochester Americans34%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 58%.

Why

  • Wilkes-Barre/Scranton are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.7.

Facts

  • League table: Wilkes-Barre/Scranton — No. 14, 11 pts; Rochester Americans — No. 15, 11 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Wilkes-Barre/Scranton 2 wins, Rochester Americans 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Wilkes-Barre/Scranton — Rochester Americans3.1–2.7
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton to win (incl. OT and shootout)56%
Rochester Americans to win (incl. OT and shootout)44%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)58%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)42%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Wilkes-Barre/Scranton
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  • Overtime chance
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Form

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton

  • 02.11away · Hershey Bears5:0
  • 31.10away · Utica Comets3:4
  • 25.10Hartford Wolf Pack3:2
  • 24.10Belleville Senators3:7
  • 17.10away · Cleveland Monsters6:3

Rochester Americans

  • 31.10Lehigh Valley Phantoms6:3
  • 29.10Hershey Bears2:3
  • 24.10away · Syracuse Crunch3:2 OT
  • 22.10Utica Comets3:5
  • 18.10away · Syracuse Crunch2:4

Head to head

  • 19.04.2026Wilkes-Barre/Scranton — Rochester Americans8:0
  • 08.11.2025Rochester Americans — Wilkes-Barre/Scranton6:4
  • 27.02.2025Rochester Americans — Wilkes-Barre/Scranton5:2
  • 10.11.2024Wilkes-Barre/Scranton — Rochester Americans5:0
  • 17.02.2024Rochester Americans — Wilkes-Barre/Scranton5:3

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
13Toronto Marlies1161435–34+113.591
14Wilkes-Barre/Scranton1051439–29+1011.550
15Rochester Americans1051433–25+811.550
16Syracuse Crunch1051431–31011.550

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →