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AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)

Syracuse Crunch — Belleville Senators

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Model prediction for 22 November

Syracuse Crunch50%
Draw in regulation21%
Belleville Senators29%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Syracuse Crunch are favourites: 62% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 53%.

Why

  • Syracuse Crunch are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.5.

Facts

  • League table: Syracuse Crunch — No. 16, 11 pts; Belleville Senators — No. 20, 12 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Last 5 meetings: Syracuse Crunch 3 wins, Belleville Senators 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Syracuse Crunch — Belleville Senators3.1–2.5
Syracuse Crunch to win (incl. OT and shootout)62%
Belleville Senators to win (incl. OT and shootout)38%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)53%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)47%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Syracuse Crunch
  • Syracuse Crunch goals
  • Overtime chance
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Form

Syracuse Crunch

  • 31.10Hamilton Hammers7:0
  • 25.10away · Lehigh Valley Phantoms7:2
  • 24.10Rochester Americans2:3 OT
  • 22.10away · Laval Rocket1:5
  • 18.10away · Hamilton Hammers4:3

Belleville Senators

  • 01.11Toronto Marlies4:1
  • 31.10Hartford Wolf Pack1:4
  • 25.10away · Lehigh Valley Phantoms0:2
  • 25.10away · Hershey Bears2:5
  • 24.10away · Wilkes-Barre/Scranton7:3

Head to head

  • 11.10.2026Syracuse Crunch — Belleville Senators2:3
  • 19.04.2026Syracuse Crunch — Belleville Senators4:0
  • 18.04.2026Belleville Senators — Syracuse Crunch6:4
  • 19.02.2026Belleville Senators — Syracuse Crunch1:2
  • 08.02.2026Belleville Senators — Syracuse Crunch2:5

Full record: 25 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
15Rochester Americans1051433–25+811.550
16Syracuse Crunch1051431–31011.550
17San Diego Gulls1152430–29+112.545
19Hartford Wolf Pack1361633–37-413.500
20Belleville Senators1252536–40-412.500
21Chicago Wolves1151528–40-1211.500

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →