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KHL · Monday, 9 November, (UTC+3)

Bars Kazan — Nizhny Novgorod

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Model prediction for 9 November

Bars Kazan36%
Draw in regulation23%
Nizhny Novgorod40%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Close to a coin flip: Bars Kazan 47%, Nizhny Novgorod 53% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 4.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 33%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.2 and 2.3.

Facts

  • League table: Bars Kazan — No. 10, 24 pts; Nizhny Novgorod — No. 5, 29 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Bars Kazan 1 win, Nizhny Novgorod 4.
  • Days of rest before the match: Bars Kazan 5, Nizhny Novgorod 8.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Bars Kazan — Nizhny Novgorod2.2–2.3
Bars Kazan to win (incl. OT and shootout)47%
Nizhny Novgorod to win (incl. OT and shootout)53%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)33%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)67%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Bars Kazan
  • Bars Kazan goals
  • Overtime chance
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Form

Bars Kazan

  • 04.11away · Novosibirsk1:3
  • 02.11SKA St. Petersburg3:4
  • 30.10Khabarovsk3:1
  • 28.10Avangard Omsk0:4
  • 25.10away · Salavat Ufa2:1

Nizhny Novgorod

  • 01.11Spartak Moscow3:1
  • 29.10away · Yekaterinburg2:3 SO
  • 27.10away · SKA St. Petersburg4:3
  • 24.10Dinamo Minsk1:2 OT
  • 21.10away · Bars Kazan2:1 SO

Head to head

  • 21.10.2026Bars Kazan — Nizhny Novgorod1:2 SO
  • 14.09.2026Nizhny Novgorod — Bars Kazan3:2
  • 21.02.2026Nizhny Novgorod — Bars Kazan3:2 SO
  • 12.02.2026Bars Kazan — Nizhny Novgorod4:3 OT
  • 11.02.2025Bars Kazan — Nizhny Novgorod1:5

Full record: 39 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
4, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceShanghai21142564–51+1330
5, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceNizhny Novgorod21133558–43+1529
6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceNiznekamsk23133765–55+1029
9, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceBarys Astana21121871–57+1425
10, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceBars Kazan241121152–56-424
11, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceKhabarovsk21111942–35+723

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

KHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →