Bars Kazan — Nizhny Novgorod
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 9 November
In short
Close to a coin flip: Bars Kazan 47%, Nizhny Novgorod 53% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 4.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 33%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.2 and 2.3.
Facts
- League table: Bars Kazan — No. 10, 24 pts; Nizhny Novgorod — No. 5, 29 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Bars Kazan 1 win, Nizhny Novgorod 4.
- Days of rest before the match: Bars Kazan 5, Nizhny Novgorod 8.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bars Kazan — Nizhny Novgorod | 2.2–2.3 | |
| Bars Kazan to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Nizhny Novgorod to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 33% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 67% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Bars Kazan
- Bars Kazan goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 04.11away · Novosibirsk1:3
- 02.11SKA St. Petersburg3:4
- 30.10Khabarovsk3:1
- 28.10Avangard Omsk0:4
- 25.10away · Salavat Ufa2:1
- 01.11Spartak Moscow3:1
- 29.10away · Yekaterinburg2:3 SO
- 27.10away · SKA St. Petersburg4:3
- 24.10Dinamo Minsk1:2 OT
- 21.10away · Bars Kazan2:1 SO
Head to head
- 21.10.2026Bars Kazan — Nizhny Novgorod1:2 SO
- 14.09.2026Nizhny Novgorod — Bars Kazan3:2
- 21.02.2026Nizhny Novgorod — Bars Kazan3:2 SO
- 12.02.2026Bars Kazan — Nizhny Novgorod4:3 OT
- 11.02.2025Bars Kazan — Nizhny Novgorod1:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Shanghai | 21 | 14 | +13 | 30 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Nizhny Novgorod | 21 | 13 | +15 | 29 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Niznekamsk | 23 | 13 | +10 | 29 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Barys Astana | 21 | 12 | +14 | 25 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Bars Kazan | 24 | 11 | -4 | 24 |
| 11, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Khabarovsk | 21 | 11 | +7 | 23 |
KHL on the same day
- 67331The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.3
- 72281The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.4
- 39612The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →