KHL · Monday, 9 November, (UTC+3)
Cherepovets — Lada
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 9 November
In short
Cherepovets are clear favourites: 67% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.3 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 31%.
Why
- Cherepovets are more dangerous in attack: 2.6 expected goals against 1.7.
Facts
- League table: Cherepovets — No. 8, 26 pts; Lada — No. 22, 13 pts. A gap of 13 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Cherepovets 5 wins, Lada 0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Cherepovets — Lada | 2.6–1.7 | |
| Cherepovets to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 67% | |
| Lada to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 33% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 31% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 69% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Cherepovets
- Cherepovets goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 03.11away · Shanghai1:3
- 30.10Spartak Moscow1:5
- 29.10Spartak Moscow3:2 SO
- 25.10away · Lokomotiv Yaroslavl0:1
- 23.10away · Spartak Moscow1:3
- 02.11away · Lokomotiv Yaroslavl1:0
- 30.10Avangard Omsk3:2 OT
- 27.10Vladivostok1:3
- 25.10Sochi3:4
- 23.10Shanghai0:2
Head to head
- 07.09.2026Cherepovets — Lada1:0
- 11.03.2026Lada — Cherepovets1:3
- 03.01.2026Cherepovets — Lada4:2
- 07.12.2025Lada — Cherepovets2:3
- 23.11.2025Cherepovets — Lada2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Spartak Moscow | 22 | 12 | +17 | 28 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Cherepovets | 23 | 12 | -2 | 26 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Barys Astana | 21 | 12 | +14 | 25 |
| 21 | Sochi | 22 | 7 | -37 | 14 |
| 22 | Lada | 22 | 4 | -38 | 13 |
KHL on the same day
- 47532The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.4
- 72281The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.4
- 39612The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →