KHL · Monday, 9 November, (UTC+3)
CSKA Moscow — Novosibirsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 9 November
In short
CSKA Moscow are clear favourites: 72% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 31%.
Why
- CSKA Moscow are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 1.6.
Facts
- League table: CSKA Moscow — No. 2, 34 pts; Novosibirsk — No. 20, 19 pts. A gap of 15 pts.
- CSKA Moscow: 4 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: CSKA Moscow 4 wins, Novosibirsk 1.
- Days of rest before the match: CSKA Moscow 6, Novosibirsk 8.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: CSKA Moscow — Novosibirsk | 2.7–1.6 | |
| CSKA Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 72% | |
| Novosibirsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 28% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 31% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 69% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap CSKA Moscow
- CSKA Moscow goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 03.11away · Magnitogorsk7:3
- 01.11away · Tractor Chelyabinsk3:2 OT
- 28.10Tractor Chelyabinsk5:1
- 25.10away · SKA St. Petersburg3:1
- 23.10away · Yekaterinburg1:5
- 01.11Niznekamsk1:3
- 29.10Magnitogorsk5:2
- 26.10away · Tractor Chelyabinsk1:2
- 24.10away · Magnitogorsk1:5
- 22.10away · SKA St. Petersburg3:6
Head to head
- 16.03.2026Novosibirsk — CSKA Moscow3:2
- 08.11.2025CSKA Moscow — Novosibirsk4:0
- 19.01.2025Novosibirsk — CSKA Moscow3:4 SO
- 10.09.2024CSKA Moscow — Novosibirsk8:2
- 22.02.2024CSKA Moscow — Novosibirsk4:3 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Magnitogorsk | 24 | 17 | +23 | 36 |
| 2, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | CSKA Moscow | 22 | 17 | +31 | 34 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 21 | 15 | +19 | 30 |
| 19 | Tractor Chelyabinsk | 21 | 8 | -10 | 19 |
| 20 | Novosibirsk | 23 | 8 | -17 | 19 |
| 21 | Sochi | 22 | 7 | -37 | 14 |
KHL on the same day
- 47532The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.4
- 67331The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.3
- 39612The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →