SKA St. Petersburg — Spartak Moscow
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 9 November
In short
Spartak Moscow are favourites: 61% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 45%.
Why
- Spartak Moscow are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.3.
Facts
- League table: SKA St. Petersburg — No. 17, 21 pts; Spartak Moscow — No. 7, 28 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: SKA St. Petersburg 0 wins, Spartak Moscow 5.
- Days of rest before the match: SKA St. Petersburg 5, Spartak Moscow 8.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: SKA St. Petersburg — Spartak Moscow | 2.3–2.8 | |
| SKA St. Petersburg to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 39% | |
| Spartak Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 61% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 45% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 55% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap SKA St. Petersburg
- SKA St. Petersburg goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 04.11away · Vladivostok0:4
- 02.11away · Bars Kazan4:3
- 27.10Nizhny Novgorod3:4
- 25.10CSKA Moscow1:3
- 22.10Novosibirsk6:3
- 01.11away · Nizhny Novgorod1:3
- 30.10away · Cherepovets5:1
- 29.10away · Cherepovets2:3 SO
- 25.10Shanghai3:4 SO
- 23.10Cherepovets3:1
Head to head
- 10.09.2026Spartak Moscow — SKA St. Petersburg3:1
- 30.01.2026Spartak Moscow — SKA St. Petersburg4:0
- 22.01.2026SKA St. Petersburg — Spartak Moscow1:2
- 20.12.2025SKA St. Petersburg — Spartak Moscow1:2
- 03.10.2025Spartak Moscow — SKA St. Petersburg3:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Niznekamsk | 23 | 13 | +10 | 29 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Spartak Moscow | 22 | 12 | +17 | 28 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Cherepovets | 23 | 12 | -2 | 26 |
| 16, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Dinamo Minsk | 22 | 8 | -15 | 22 |
| 17 | SKA St. Petersburg | 21 | 10 | -3 | 21 |
| 18 | Salavat Ufa | 22 | 10 | -6 | 21 |
KHL on the same day
- 47532The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.4
- 67331The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.3
- 72281The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →