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KHL · Monday, 9 November, (UTC+3)

SKA St. Petersburg — Spartak Moscow

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Model prediction for 9 November

SKA St. Petersburg30%
Draw in regulation22%
Spartak Moscow48%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Spartak Moscow are favourites: 61% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 45%.

Why

  • Spartak Moscow are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.3.

Facts

  • League table: SKA St. Petersburg — No. 17, 21 pts; Spartak Moscow — No. 7, 28 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: SKA St. Petersburg 0 wins, Spartak Moscow 5.
  • Days of rest before the match: SKA St. Petersburg 5, Spartak Moscow 8.

Probabilities

Expected goals: SKA St. Petersburg — Spartak Moscow2.3–2.8
SKA St. Petersburg to win (incl. OT and shootout)39%
Spartak Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout)61%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)45%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)55%

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Form

SKA St. Petersburg

  • 04.11away · Vladivostok0:4
  • 02.11away · Bars Kazan4:3
  • 27.10Nizhny Novgorod3:4
  • 25.10CSKA Moscow1:3
  • 22.10Novosibirsk6:3

Spartak Moscow

  • 01.11away · Nizhny Novgorod1:3
  • 30.10away · Cherepovets5:1
  • 29.10away · Cherepovets2:3 SO
  • 25.10Shanghai3:4 SO
  • 23.10Cherepovets3:1

Head to head

  • 10.09.2026Spartak Moscow — SKA St. Petersburg3:1
  • 30.01.2026Spartak Moscow — SKA St. Petersburg4:0
  • 22.01.2026SKA St. Petersburg — Spartak Moscow1:2
  • 20.12.2025SKA St. Petersburg — Spartak Moscow1:2
  • 03.10.2025Spartak Moscow — SKA St. Petersburg3:1

Full record: 55 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceNiznekamsk23133765–55+1029
7, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceSpartak Moscow22124659–42+1728
8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceCherepovets23122951–53-226
16, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceDinamo Minsk2286851–66-1522
17SKA St. Petersburg211011062–65-321
18Salavat Ufa221011161–67-621

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

KHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →