KHL · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)
Barys Astana — Magnitogorsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Magnitogorsk are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects plenty of goals: 5.5 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.8.
Facts
- League table: Barys Astana — No. 9, 25 pts; Magnitogorsk — No. 1, 36 pts. A gap of 11 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Barys Astana 0 wins, Magnitogorsk 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Barys Astana — Magnitogorsk | 2.6–2.8 | |
| Barys Astana to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 45% | |
| Magnitogorsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 55% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 51% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Barys Astana
- Barys Astana goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 30.10away · Shanghai4:2
- 28.10away · Dinamo Minsk1:0
- 26.10away · Yekaterinburg1:4
- 21.10away · Vladivostok4:5 OT
- 19.10away · Khabarovsk2:5
- 03.11CSKA Moscow3:7
- 31.10away · Yekaterinburg4:3
- 29.10away · Novosibirsk2:5
- 27.10away · Niznekamsk3:2 OT
- 24.10Novosibirsk5:1
Head to head
- 18.09.2026Magnitogorsk — Barys Astana3:0
- 17.02.2026Barys Astana — Magnitogorsk2:3 OT
- 29.11.2025Magnitogorsk — Barys Astana5:2
- 09.11.2025Barys Astana — Magnitogorsk1:4
- 18.09.2025Magnitogorsk — Barys Astana5:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Magnitogorsk | 24 | 17 | +23 | 36 |
| 2, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | CSKA Moscow | 22 | 17 | +31 | 34 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Cherepovets | 23 | 12 | -2 | 26 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Barys Astana | 21 | 12 | +14 | 25 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Bars Kazan | 23 | 11 | -2 | 24 |
KHL on the same day
- NovosibirskDynamo Moscowpreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.5
- Nizhny NovgorodDinamo Minskpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.6
- SKA St. PetersburgTractor Chelyabinskpreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →