KHL · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)
Nizhny Novgorod — Dinamo Minsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Nizhny Novgorod 53%, Dinamo Minsk 47% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 4.6 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 37%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.4 and 2.2.
Facts
- League table: Nizhny Novgorod — No. 5, 29 pts; Dinamo Minsk — No. 16, 22 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Nizhny Novgorod 2 wins, Dinamo Minsk 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Nizhny Novgorod — Dinamo Minsk | 2.4–2.2 | |
| Nizhny Novgorod to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Dinamo Minsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 37% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 63% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Nizhny Novgorod
- Nizhny Novgorod goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 01.11Spartak Moscow3:1
- 29.10away · Yekaterinburg2:3 SO
- 27.10away · SKA St. Petersburg4:3
- 24.10Dinamo Minsk1:2 OT
- 21.10away · Bars Kazan2:1 SO
- 01.11Dynamo Moscow0:4
- 30.10Tractor Chelyabinsk3:2
- 28.10Barys Astana0:1
- 24.10away · Nizhny Novgorod2:1 OT
- 22.10away · Sochi2:3 OT
Head to head
- 24.10.2026Nizhny Novgorod — Dinamo Minsk1:2 OT
- 05.10.2026Dinamo Minsk — Nizhny Novgorod1:2 SO
- 07.09.2026Dinamo Minsk — Nizhny Novgorod3:4 SO
- 23.02.2026Nizhny Novgorod — Dinamo Minsk3:4
- 28.11.2025Nizhny Novgorod — Dinamo Minsk1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Shanghai | 21 | 14 | +13 | 30 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Nizhny Novgorod | 21 | 13 | +15 | 29 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Niznekamsk | 23 | 13 | +10 | 29 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Avangard Omsk | 20 | 10 | -7 | 22 |
| 16, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Dinamo Minsk | 22 | 8 | -15 | 22 |
| 17 | SKA St. Petersburg | 21 | 10 | -3 | 21 |
KHL on the same day
- NovosibirskDynamo Moscowpreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.5
- Barys AstanaMagnitogorskpreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.4
- SKA St. PetersburgTractor Chelyabinskpreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →