KHL · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)
Novosibirsk — Dynamo Moscow
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Dynamo Moscow are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.5 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 33%.
Why
- Dynamo Moscow are more dangerous in attack: 2.4 expected goals against 2.0.
Facts
- League table: Novosibirsk — No. 19, 21 pts; Dynamo Moscow — No. 13, 23 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Novosibirsk 2 wins, Dynamo Moscow 3.
- Days of rest before the match: Novosibirsk 11, Dynamo Moscow 14.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Novosibirsk — Dynamo Moscow | 2.0–2.4 | |
| Novosibirsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 42% | |
| Dynamo Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 58% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 33% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 67% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Novosibirsk
- Novosibirsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 04.11Bars Kazan3:1
- 01.11Niznekamsk1:3
- 29.10Magnitogorsk5:2
- 26.10away · Tractor Chelyabinsk1:2
- 24.10away · Magnitogorsk1:5
- 01.11away · Dinamo Minsk4:0
- 28.10Khabarovsk2:1
- 26.10Avangard Omsk2:3 OT
- 23.10away · Lokomotiv Yaroslavl1:2 OT
- 20.10Novosibirsk2:3 SO
Head to head
- 20.10.2026Dynamo Moscow — Novosibirsk2:3 SO
- 20.11.2025Dynamo Moscow — Novosibirsk3:4 SO
- 15.11.2025Novosibirsk — Dynamo Moscow2:3
- 20.11.2024Dynamo Moscow — Novosibirsk4:2
- 15.11.2024Novosibirsk — Dynamo Moscow1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Vladivostok | 22 | 10 | -4 | 23 |
| 13, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Dynamo Moscow | 24 | 9 | -12 | 23 |
| 14, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Yekaterinburg | 21 | 10 | +4 | 22 |
| 18 | Salavat Ufa | 22 | 10 | -6 | 21 |
| 19 | Novosibirsk | 24 | 9 | -15 | 21 |
| 20 | Tractor Chelyabinsk | 21 | 8 | -10 | 19 |
KHL on the same day
- Barys AstanaMagnitogorskpreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.4
- Nizhny NovgorodDinamo Minskpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.6
- SKA St. PetersburgTractor Chelyabinskpreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →