KHL · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)
SKA St. Petersburg — Tractor Chelyabinsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Tractor Chelyabinsk are favourites: 53% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.7.
Facts
- League table: SKA St. Petersburg — No. 17, 21 pts; Tractor Chelyabinsk — No. 20, 19 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Tractor Chelyabinsk: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: SKA St. Petersburg 2 wins, Tractor Chelyabinsk 3.
- Days of rest before the match: SKA St. Petersburg 11, Tractor Chelyabinsk 14.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: SKA St. Petersburg — Tractor Chelyabinsk | 2.6–2.7 | |
| SKA St. Petersburg to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Tractor Chelyabinsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 49% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 51% |
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- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap SKA St. Petersburg
- SKA St. Petersburg goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 04.11away · Vladivostok0:4
- 02.11away · Bars Kazan4:3
- 27.10Nizhny Novgorod3:4
- 25.10CSKA Moscow1:3
- 22.10Novosibirsk6:3
- 01.11CSKA Moscow2:3 OT
- 30.10away · Dinamo Minsk2:3
- 28.10away · CSKA Moscow1:5
- 26.10Novosibirsk2:1
- 23.10Bars Kazan3:1
Head to head
- 25.09.2026Tractor Chelyabinsk — SKA St. Petersburg3:4
- 16.03.2026Tractor Chelyabinsk — SKA St. Petersburg2:1
- 11.09.2025SKA St. Petersburg — Tractor Chelyabinsk5:2
- 18.03.2025Tractor Chelyabinsk — SKA St. Petersburg4:2
- 12.09.2024SKA St. Petersburg — Tractor Chelyabinsk0:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Dinamo Minsk | 22 | 8 | -15 | 22 |
| 17 | SKA St. Petersburg | 21 | 10 | -3 | 21 |
| 18 | Salavat Ufa | 22 | 10 | -6 | 21 |
| 19 | Novosibirsk | 24 | 9 | -15 | 21 |
| 20 | Tractor Chelyabinsk | 21 | 8 | -10 | 19 |
| 21 | Sochi | 22 | 7 | -37 | 14 |
KHL on the same day
- NovosibirskDynamo Moscowpreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.5
- Barys AstanaMagnitogorskpreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.4
- Nizhny NovgorodDinamo Minskpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →