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Swiss National League (hockey) · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)

Bern — EHC Kloten

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Model prediction for 20 November

Bern54%
Draw in regulation22%
EHC Kloten25%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Bern are clear favourites: 66% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.6 in total, against a competition average of 5.4.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 36%.

Why

  • Bern are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 1.9.

Facts

  • League table: Bern — No. 6, 28 pts; EHC Kloten — No. 14, 18 pts. A gap of 10 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Bern 2 wins, EHC Kloten 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Bern — EHC Kloten2.7–1.9
Bern to win (incl. OT and shootout)66%
EHC Kloten to win (incl. OT and shootout)34%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)36%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)64%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Bern
  • Bern goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Bern

  • 31.10Zug1:8
  • 30.10away · Ajoie4:1
  • 27.10Zurich1:4
  • 25.10Lugano2:1 OT
  • 23.10away · Davos4:1

EHC Kloten

  • 31.10Zurich0:4
  • 30.10away · Biel2:4
  • 27.10Ajoie7:4
  • 24.10Rapperswil-Jona1:2
  • 23.10away · Lugano5:2

Head to head

  • 22.09.2026EHC Kloten — Bern1:4
  • 24.02.2026Bern — EHC Kloten1:2 OT
  • 06.01.2026EHC Kloten — Bern2:3
  • 21.11.2025EHC Kloten — Bern4:2
  • 26.09.2025Bern — EHC Kloten0:1

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsZug13901349–27+2228
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsBern17723546–47-128
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsFribourg18722757–44+1327
13, Relegation play-offRapperswil-Jona194231050–69-1919
14, Relegation play-offEHC Kloten195111244–69-2518

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

National League on the same day

  • FribourgRapperswil-Jonapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.0
  • Langnau TigersAmbri-Piottapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.4
  • LuganoAjoiepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.4
  • ZugServettepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.7

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →