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Swiss National League (hockey) · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)

Zug — Servette

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Model prediction for 20 November

Zug52%
Draw in regulation22%
Servette26%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Zug are clear favourites: 64% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.7 in total, against a competition average of 5.4.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 38%.

Why

  • Zug are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.0.

Facts

  • League table: Zug — No. 5, 28 pts; Servette — No. 3, 32 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
  • Zug: 3 wins in a row; Servette: 3 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Zug 2 wins, Servette 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Zug — Servette2.7–2.0
Zug to win (incl. OT and shootout)64%
Servette to win (incl. OT and shootout)36%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)38%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)62%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Zug
  • Zug goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Zug

  • 31.10away · Bern8:1
  • 30.10Langnau Tigers3:2
  • 27.10Lugano7:2
  • 24.10away · Biel0:5
  • 23.10Lausanne4:1

Servette

  • 31.10Biel3:2
  • 30.10away · Fribourg1:0
  • 27.10away · Rapperswil-Jona2:1 OT
  • 25.10Zurich1:5
  • 23.10away · Ajoie0:5

Head to head

  • 04.10.2026Servette — Zug2:1
  • 17.01.2026Servette — Zug4:1
  • 27.11.2025Zug — Servette3:1
  • 30.10.2025Servette — Zug0:1
  • 10.10.2025Zug — Servette1:4

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsAmbri-Piotta18922557–53+433
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsServette19832649–55-632
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsLangnau Tigers19813766–56+1029
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsZug13901349–27+2228
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsBern17723546–47-128

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

National League on the same day

  • BernEHC Klotenpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.6
  • FribourgRapperswil-Jonapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.0
  • Langnau TigersAmbri-Piottapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.4
  • LuganoAjoiepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →