Swiss National League (hockey) · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)
Fribourg — Rapperswil-Jona
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 20 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Fribourg are clear favourites: 63% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.0 in total, against a competition average of 5.4.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 43%.
Why
- Fribourg are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.1.
Facts
- League table: Fribourg — No. 7, 27 pts; Rapperswil-Jona — No. 13, 19 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
- Rapperswil-Jona: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Fribourg 3 wins, Rapperswil-Jona 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Fribourg — Rapperswil-Jona | 2.8–2.1 | |
| Fribourg to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 63% | |
| Rapperswil-Jona to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 37% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 43% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 57% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Fribourg
- Fribourg goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 30.10Servette0:1
- 28.10away · Langnau Tigers2:4
- 27.10Davos3:1
- 24.10away · Lausanne0:2
- 23.10Biel6:3
- 31.10Ajoie2:4
- 30.10away · Davos3:4 SO
- 27.10Servette1:2 OT
- 24.10away · EHC Kloten2:1
- 23.10Ambri-Piotta6:3
Head to head
- 19.09.2026Rapperswil-Jona — Fribourg3:2
- 01.04.2026Fribourg — Rapperswil-Jona4:3 OT
- 30.03.2026Rapperswil-Jona — Fribourg1:3
- 28.03.2026Fribourg — Rapperswil-Jona1:2
- 26.03.2026Rapperswil-Jona — Fribourg2:6
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Bern | 17 | 7 | -1 | 28 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Fribourg | 18 | 7 | +13 | 27 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Lausanne | 20 | 7 | -10 | 26 |
| 12 | Lugano | 18 | 6 | -6 | 22 |
| 13, Relegation play-off | Rapperswil-Jona | 19 | 4 | -19 | 19 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | EHC Kloten | 19 | 5 | -25 | 18 |
National League on the same day
- BernEHC Klotenpreliminary66341The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.6
- Langnau TigersAmbri-Piottapreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.4
- LuganoAjoiepreliminary69311The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.4
- ZugServettepreliminary64361The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →