Swiss National League (hockey) · Friday, 13 November, (UTC+3)
Bern — Fribourg
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 13 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Bern are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.6 in total, against a competition average of 5.4.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 35%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.4 and 2.2.
Facts
- League table: Bern — No. 6, 28 pts; Fribourg — No. 7, 27 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Last 5 meetings: Bern 1 win, Fribourg 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bern — Fribourg | 2.4–2.2 | |
| Bern to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 54% | |
| Fribourg to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 46% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 35% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 65% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Bern
- Bern goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 30.10Servette0:1
- 28.10away · Langnau Tigers2:4
- 27.10Davos3:1
- 24.10away · Lausanne0:2
- 23.10Biel6:3
Head to head
- 29.09.2026Fribourg — Bern5:2
- 09.03.2026Bern — Fribourg3:4
- 29.11.2025Fribourg — Bern2:1
- 25.10.2025Fribourg — Bern1:2 SO
- 30.09.2025Bern — Fribourg1:5
Table
National League on the same day
- DavosAmbri-Piottapreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.2
- LuganoLangnau Tigerspreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.4
- ZugRapperswil-Jonapreliminary67331The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →