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Swiss National League (hockey) · Friday, 13 November, (UTC+3)

Lugano — Langnau Tigers

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Model prediction for 13 November

Lugano43%
Draw in regulation22%
Langnau Tigers35%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Lugano are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.4).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.8 and 2.6.

Facts

  • League table: Lugano — No. 12, 22 pts; Langnau Tigers — No. 4, 29 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Lugano 2 wins, Langnau Tigers 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Lugano — Langnau Tigers2.8–2.6
Lugano to win (incl. OT and shootout)54%
Langnau Tigers to win (incl. OT and shootout)46%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)51%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Lugano
  • Lugano goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Lugano

  • 31.10away · Ambri-Piotta3:4
  • 29.10Lausanne4:0
  • 27.10away · Zug2:7
  • 25.10away · Bern1:2 OT
  • 23.10EHC Kloten2:5

Langnau Tigers

  • 30.10away · Zug2:3
  • 28.10Fribourg4:2
  • 27.10away · Lausanne9:3
  • 24.10Davos2:3 OT
  • 23.10away · Zurich2:3

Head to head

  • 29.09.2026Langnau Tigers — Lugano4:3
  • 18.01.2026Lugano — Langnau Tigers4:3 SO
  • 23.12.2025Langnau Tigers — Lugano2:4
  • 12.11.2025Langnau Tigers — Lugano3:0
  • 10.10.2025Lugano — Langnau Tigers2:5

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsServette19832649–55-632
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsLangnau Tigers19813766–56+1029
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsZug13901349–27+2228
11Biel18702957–60-323
12Lugano18612956–62-622
13, Relegation play-offRapperswil-Jona194231050–69-1919

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

National League on the same day

  • BernFribourgpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.6
  • DavosAmbri-Piottapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.2
  • ZugRapperswil-Jonapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →