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Swiss National League (hockey) · Friday, 13 November, (UTC+3)

Zug — Rapperswil-Jona

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Model prediction for 13 November

Zug55%
Draw in regulation21%
Rapperswil-Jona25%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Zug are clear favourites: 67% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.4).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 45%.

Why

  • Zug are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.1.

Facts

  • League table: Zug — No. 5, 28 pts; Rapperswil-Jona — No. 13, 19 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
  • Zug: 3 wins in a row; Rapperswil-Jona: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Zug 2 wins, Rapperswil-Jona 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Zug — Rapperswil-Jona3.0–2.1
Zug to win (incl. OT and shootout)67%
Rapperswil-Jona to win (incl. OT and shootout)33%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)45%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)55%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Zug
  • Zug goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Zug

  • 31.10away · Bern8:1
  • 30.10Langnau Tigers3:2
  • 27.10Lugano7:2
  • 24.10away · Biel0:5
  • 23.10Lausanne4:1

Rapperswil-Jona

  • 31.10Ajoie2:4
  • 30.10away · Davos3:4 SO
  • 27.10Servette1:2 OT
  • 24.10away · EHC Kloten2:1
  • 23.10Ambri-Piotta6:3

Head to head

  • 29.09.2026Rapperswil-Jona — Zug2:5
  • 14.03.2026Rapperswil-Jona — Zug2:1
  • 12.03.2026Zug — Rapperswil-Jona5:2
  • 07.03.2026Zug — Rapperswil-Jona2:3 OT
  • 20.12.2025Rapperswil-Jona — Zug4:2

Full record: 15 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsLangnau Tigers19813766–56+1029
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsZug13901349–27+2228
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsBern17723546–47-128
12Lugano18612956–62-622
13, Relegation play-offRapperswil-Jona194231050–69-1919
14, Relegation play-offEHC Kloten195111244–69-2518

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

National League on the same day

  • BernFribourgpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.6
  • DavosAmbri-Piottapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.2
  • LuganoLangnau Tigerspreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →