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Swiss National League (hockey) · Friday, 13 November, (UTC+3)

Davos — Ambri-Piotta

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Model prediction for 13 November

Davos42%
Draw in regulation22%
Ambri-Piotta36%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Davos are favourites: 53% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.4).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 47%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.7 and 2.5.

Facts

  • League table: Davos — No. 10, 24 pts; Ambri-Piotta — No. 2, 33 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Davos 4 wins, Ambri-Piotta 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Davos — Ambri-Piotta2.7–2.5
Davos to win (incl. OT and shootout)53%
Ambri-Piotta to win (incl. OT and shootout)47%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)47%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)53%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Davos
  • Davos goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Davos

  • 31.10away · Lausanne2:3 OT
  • 30.10Rapperswil-Jona4:3 SO
  • 27.10away · Fribourg1:3
  • 24.10away · Langnau Tigers3:2 OT
  • 23.10Bern1:4

Ambri-Piotta

  • 31.10Lugano4:3
  • 30.10away · Zurich3:4 SO
  • 27.10Biel4:3 SO
  • 24.10Ajoie3:0
  • 23.10away · Rapperswil-Jona3:6

Head to head

  • 29.09.2026Ambri-Piotta — Davos0:3
  • 27.02.2026Ambri-Piotta — Davos2:5
  • 03.01.2026Davos — Ambri-Piotta7:3
  • 20.11.2025Davos — Ambri-Piotta4:6
  • 05.10.2025Ambri-Piotta — Davos4:6

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsZurich181340175–38+3747
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsAmbri-Piotta18922557–53+433
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsServette19832649–55-632
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsAjoie19542858–64-625
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsDavos19622945–55-1024
11Biel18702957–60-323

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

National League on the same day

  • BernFribourgpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.6
  • LuganoLangnau Tigerspreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.4
  • ZugRapperswil-Jonapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →