PremiumTelegram
EN
Sections

Accounts and Premium are not available in your country; every forecast is open. New forecasts every day — in our Telegram channel.

Swiss National League (hockey) · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)

Biel — Bern

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 21 November

Biel40%
Draw in regulation22%
Bern38%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Biel 51%, Bern 49% including overtime.

5.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.4).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 47%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.6.

Facts

  • League table: Biel — No. 11, 23 pts; Bern — No. 6, 28 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Biel 2 wins, Bern 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Biel — Bern2.6–2.6
Biel to win (incl. OT and shootout)51%
Bern to win (incl. OT and shootout)49%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)47%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)53%

111 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Biel
  • Biel goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Biel

  • 31.10away · Servette2:3
  • 30.10EHC Kloten4:2
  • 27.10away · Ambri-Piotta3:4 SO
  • 24.10Zug5:0
  • 23.10away · Fribourg3:6

Bern

  • 31.10Zug1:8
  • 30.10away · Ajoie4:1
  • 27.10Zurich1:4
  • 25.10Lugano2:1 OT
  • 23.10away · Davos4:1

Head to head

  • 09.10.2026Bern — Biel4:2
  • 14.03.2026Bern — Biel4:0
  • 12.03.2026Biel — Bern4:3
  • 28.02.2026Bern — Biel2:3
  • 10.01.2026Biel — Bern1:2

Full record: 15 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsZug13901349–27+2228
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsBern17723546–47-128
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsFribourg18722757–44+1327
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsDavos19622945–55-1024
11Biel18702957–60-323
12Lugano18612956–62-622

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

National League on the same day

  • AjoieFribourgpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:44.9
  • Ambri-PiottaZugpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.0
  • EHC KlotenDavospreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.8
  • ZurichLuganopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →