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VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)

Buran Voronezh — Zvezda Moscow

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Model prediction for 24 November

Buran Voronezh42%
Draw in regulation23%
Zvezda Moscow35%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Buran Voronezh are favourites: 53% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 34%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.3 and 2.1.

Facts

  • League table: Buran Voronezh — No. 11, 24 pts; Zvezda Moscow — No. 26, 15 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
  • Buran Voronezh: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Buran Voronezh 3 wins, Zvezda Moscow 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Buran Voronezh — Zvezda Moscow2.3–2.1
Buran Voronezh to win (incl. OT and shootout)53%
Zvezda Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout)47%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)34%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)66%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Buran Voronezh
  • Buran Voronezh goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Buran Voronezh

  • 01.11Izhevsk1:2
  • 28.10Olympia1:5
  • 23.10away · Kristall Saratov2:4
  • 21.10away · Dizel4:0
  • 13.10away · HC Yugra1:0

Zvezda Moscow

  • 01.11away · HC Norilsk2:5
  • 24.10Kaluga3:2 OT
  • 22.10AKM4:3 OT
  • 20.10Ryazan2:3
  • 12.10away · Bars2:5

Head to head

  • 31.01.2026Buran Voronezh — Zvezda Moscow1:3
  • 19.10.2025Zvezda Moscow — Buran Voronezh0:3
  • 26.12.2024Zvezda Moscow — Buran Voronezh3:2
  • 17.11.2024Buran Voronezh — Zvezda Moscow3:2
  • 13.01.2024Buran Voronezh — Zvezda Moscow4:1

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
10, PlayoffsSKA-VMF St. Petersburg17121448–23+2525
11, PlayoffsBuran Voronezh18112539–33+624
12, PlayoffsHC Yugra19111745–32+1323
25Dizel1863937–47-1015
26Zvezda Moscow18711044–58-1415
27Kurgan1854934–52-1814

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

  • KrasnoyarskKalugapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 225%Model's score: 1:23.8
  • Omskie KryliaBarspreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.0
  • TambovKhimikpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →