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VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)

Omskie Krylia — Bars

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Model prediction for 24 November

Omskie Krylia58%
Draw in regulation22%
Bars20%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Omskie Krylia are clear favourites: 71% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.0 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 25%.

Why

  • Omskie Krylia are more dangerous in attack: 2.5 expected goals against 1.5.

Facts

  • League table: Omskie Krylia — No. 1, 34 pts; Bars — No. 21, 19 pts. A gap of 15 pts.
  • Omskie Krylia: 5 wins in a row; Bars: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Omskie Krylia 2 wins, Bars 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Omskie Krylia — Bars2.5–1.5
Omskie Krylia to win (incl. OT and shootout)71%
Bars to win (incl. OT and shootout)29%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)25%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)75%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Omskie Krylia
  • Omskie Krylia goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Omskie Krylia

  • 04.11Chelmet Chelyabinsk2:1
  • 02.11Magnitka Magnitogorsk1:0
  • 30.10Orsk3:2 SO
  • 24.10away · Perm3:2
  • 22.10away · Toros Neftekamsk2:0

Bars

  • 02.11away · AKM0:3
  • 31.10away · Ryazan1:2
  • 25.10Almetyevsk0:2
  • 23.10CSK VVS3:2
  • 16.10SKA-VMF St. Petersburg0:4

Head to head

  • 12.03.2026Bars — Omskie Krylia1:0 OT
  • 04.09.2025Omskie Krylia — Bars2:1
  • 21.02.2025Omskie Krylia — Bars4:3 OT
  • 27.09.2024Bars — Omskie Krylia7:0
  • 17.12.2023Bars — Omskie Krylia4:1

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, PlayoffsOmskie Krylia20170354–26+2834
2, PlayoffsHC Norilsk22152557–47+1032
20Rubin Tyumen1983843–53-1019
21Bars20911043–59-1619
22Krasnoyarsk21901239–52-1318

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

  • KrasnoyarskKalugapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 225%Model's score: 1:23.8
  • TambovKhimikpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.0
  • Buran VoronezhZvezda Moscowpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →