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VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)

Krasnoyarsk — Kaluga

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Model prediction for 24 November

Krasnoyarsk37%
Draw in regulation25%
Kaluga39%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Krasnoyarsk 48%, Kaluga 52% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 3.8 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 22%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 1.9 and 1.9.

Facts

  • League table: Krasnoyarsk — No. 24, 16 pts; Kaluga — No. 9, 26 pts. A gap of 10 pts.
  • Kaluga: 3 defeats in a row.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Krasnoyarsk — Kaluga1.9–1.9
Krasnoyarsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)48%
Kaluga to win (incl. OT and shootout)52%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)22%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)78%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Krasnoyarsk
  • Krasnoyarsk goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Krasnoyarsk

  • 02.11Khimik2:4
  • 27.10away · Gornyak3:0
  • 25.10away · Chelmet Chelyabinsk3:2
  • 23.10away · Magnitka Magnitogorsk3:2 SO
  • 21.10away · Orsk3:1

Kaluga

  • 28.10away · SKA-VMF St. Petersburg0:2
  • 26.10away · Dinamo St. Petersburg0:3
  • 24.10away · Zvezda Moscow2:3 OT
  • 22.10away · Khimik3:2 SO
  • 18.10Gornyak1:3

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
8, PlayoffsKhimik20114569–47+2226
9, PlayoffsKaluga20114543–34+926
10, PlayoffsSKA-VMF St. Petersburg17121448–23+2525
23Dyn. Altay19721037–51-1416
24Krasnoyarsk20801237–51-1416
25Dizel1863937–47-1015

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

  • Omskie KryliaBarspreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.0
  • TambovKhimikpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.0
  • Buran VoronezhZvezda Moscowpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →