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VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)

Tambov — Khimik

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Model prediction for 24 November

Tambov27%
Draw in regulation21%
Khimik51%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Khimik are clear favourites: 64% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 43%.

Why

  • Khimik are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.2.

Facts

  • League table: Tambov — No. 15, 22 pts; Khimik — No. 8, 26 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Tambov 2 wins, Khimik 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Tambov — Khimik2.2–2.9
Tambov to win (incl. OT and shootout)36%
Khimik to win (incl. OT and shootout)64%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)43%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)57%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Tambov
  • Tambov goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Tambov

  • 03.11Izhevsk5:1
  • 30.10Olympia4:2
  • 25.10away · Kristall Saratov2:3
  • 23.10away · Dizel2:1
  • 15.10away · HC Yugra1:6

Khimik

  • 04.11away · Metallurg Novokuznetsk6:5
  • 02.11away · Krasnoyarsk4:2
  • 30.10away · HC Norilsk4:5
  • 22.10Kaluga2:3 SO
  • 20.10AKM2:3 SO

Head to head

  • 02.02.2026Tambov — Khimik7:4
  • 16.10.2025Khimik — Tambov3:0
  • 02.03.2025Khimik — Tambov7:2
  • 20.09.2024Tambov — Khimik1:2 SO
  • 19.12.2023Tambov — Khimik6:4

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
7, PlayoffsMetallurg Novokuznetsk21123646–32+1427
8, PlayoffsKhimik20114569–47+2226
9, PlayoffsKaluga20114543–34+926
14, PlayoffsKristall Saratov18111647–54-723
15, PlayoffsTambov18102648–47+122
16, PlayoffsRyazan2294946–52-622

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

  • KrasnoyarskKalugapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 225%Model's score: 1:23.8
  • Omskie KryliaBarspreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.0
  • Buran VoronezhZvezda Moscowpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →