NHL · Thursday, 12 November, (UTC+3)
Calgary Flames — New York Rangers
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 12 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
New York Rangers are favourites: 53% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.1 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 47%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.5 and 2.6.
Facts
- League table: Calgary Flames — No. 25, 14 pts; New York Rangers — No. 15, 17 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Calgary Flames 3 wins, New York Rangers 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Calgary Flames — New York Rangers | 2.5–2.6 | |
| Calgary Flames to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| New York Rangers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 47% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 53% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Calgary Flames
- Calgary Flames goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 03.11away · San Jose Sharks2:1
- 01.11away · Colorado Avalanche2:5
- 31.10Seattle Kraken6:2
- 29.10away · Edmonton Oilers0:4
- 27.10Toronto Maple Leafs5:2
- 04.11St. Louis Blues3:1
- 02.11Edmonton Oilers1:4
- 27.10Los Angeles Kings3:6
- 25.10away · Ottawa Senators4:7
- 23.10away · Toronto Maple Leafs4:5
Head to head
- 11.03.2026New York Rangers — Calgary Flames4:0
- 27.10.2025Calgary Flames — New York Rangers5:1
- 19.03.2025New York Rangers — Calgary Flames1:2
- 22.11.2024Calgary Flames — New York Rangers3:2
- 13.02.2024New York Rangers — Calgary Flames2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Florida Panthers | 15 | 8 | +3 | 18 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | New York Rangers | 16 | 8 | +1 | 17 |
| 16, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Seattle Kraken | 14 | 8 | 0 | 17 |
| 24 | San Jose Sharks | 16 | 7 | -12 | 15 |
| 25 | Calgary Flames | 15 | 7 | -15 | 14 |
| 26 | Winnipeg Jets | 16 | 5 | -19 | 13 |
NHL on the same day
- Buffalo SabresTampa Bay Lightningpreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:55.7
- Edmonton OilersPhiladelphia Flyerspreliminary62381The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.2
- Vegas Golden KnightsUtah Mammothpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.5
- Anaheim DucksNashville Predatorspreliminary61391The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 5:26.4
- San Jose SharksPittsburgh Penguinspreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:55.8
- Seattle KrakenCarolina Hurricanespreliminary30702The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:55.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →