NHL · Thursday, 12 November, (UTC+3)
San Jose Sharks — Pittsburgh Penguins
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 12 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Pittsburgh Penguins are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 58%.
Why
- Pittsburgh Penguins are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.7.
Facts
- League table: San Jose Sharks — No. 24, 15 pts; Pittsburgh Penguins — No. 27, 12 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Pittsburgh Penguins: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: San Jose Sharks 2 wins, Pittsburgh Penguins 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: San Jose Sharks — Pittsburgh Penguins | 2.7–3.1 | |
| San Jose Sharks to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 42% | |
| Pittsburgh Penguins to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 58% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 58% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 42% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap San Jose Sharks
- San Jose Sharks goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 03.11Calgary Flames1:2
- 31.10Ottawa Senators1:5
- 30.10Vancouver Canucks3:2
- 28.10Buffalo Sabres0:2
- 25.10away · Boston Bruins4:6
- 04.11Vegas Golden Knights2:3
- 01.11away · Montreal Canadiens4:5
- 30.10Utah Mammoth3:4 OT
- 25.10Nashville Predators3:2 OT
- 23.10Florida Panthers4:0
Head to head
- 13.12.2025Pittsburgh Penguins — San Jose Sharks5:6 OT
- 19.10.2025San Jose Sharks — Pittsburgh Penguins0:3
- 28.01.2025San Jose Sharks — Pittsburgh Penguins2:1
- 17.11.2024Pittsburgh Penguins — San Jose Sharks4:3 SO
- 15.03.2024Pittsburgh Penguins — San Jose Sharks6:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Anaheim Ducks | 15 | 7 | -3 | 15 |
| 24 | San Jose Sharks | 16 | 7 | -12 | 15 |
| 25 | Calgary Flames | 15 | 7 | -15 | 14 |
| 26 | Winnipeg Jets | 16 | 5 | -19 | 13 |
| 27 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 15 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 28 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 13 | 6 | -5 | 12 |
NHL on the same day
- Buffalo SabresTampa Bay Lightningpreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:55.7
- Calgary FlamesNew York Rangerspreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.1
- Edmonton OilersPhiladelphia Flyerspreliminary62381The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.2
- Vegas Golden KnightsUtah Mammothpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.5
- Anaheim DucksNashville Predatorspreliminary61391The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 5:26.4
- Seattle KrakenCarolina Hurricanespreliminary30702The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:55.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →