NHL · Thursday, 12 November, (UTC+3)
Vegas Golden Knights — Utah Mammoth
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 12 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Vegas Golden Knights 53%, Utah Mammoth 47% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 5.5 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 54%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.8 and 2.7.
Facts
- League table: Vegas Golden Knights — No. 5, 22 pts; Utah Mammoth — No. 9, 20 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Vegas Golden Knights 3 wins, Utah Mammoth 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Vegas Golden Knights — Utah Mammoth | 2.8–2.7 | |
| Vegas Golden Knights to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Utah Mammoth to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 54% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 46% |
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- Totals incl. OT
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- Vegas Golden Knights goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 04.11away · Pittsburgh Penguins3:2
- 03.11away · Boston Bruins2:3 SO
- 31.10New Jersey Devils2:5
- 28.10Ottawa Senators4:1
- 25.10away · Columbus Blue Jackets1:2 OT
- 04.11away · Toronto Maple Leafs3:2
- 02.11away · Philadelphia Flyers3:6
- 30.10away · Pittsburgh Penguins4:3 OT
- 28.10Minnesota Wild1:3
- 25.10Tampa Bay Lightning5:4 OT
Head to head
- 02.05.2026Utah Mammoth — Vegas Golden Knights1:5
- 30.04.2026Vegas Golden Knights — Utah Mammoth5:4 OT
- 28.04.2026Utah Mammoth — Vegas Golden Knights4:5 OT
- 25.04.2026Utah Mammoth — Vegas Golden Knights4:2
- 22.04.2026Vegas Golden Knights — Utah Mammoth2:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Boston Bruins | 16 | 11 | +20 | 23 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Vegas Golden Knights | 17 | 10 | +9 | 22 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Montreal Canadiens | 15 | 9 | +5 | 21 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Tampa Bay Lightning | 14 | 9 | +7 | 20 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Utah Mammoth | 16 | 10 | +3 | 20 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Colorado Avalanche | 16 | 9 | +13 | 19 |
NHL on the same day
- Buffalo SabresTampa Bay Lightningpreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:55.7
- Calgary FlamesNew York Rangerspreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.1
- Edmonton OilersPhiladelphia Flyerspreliminary62381The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.2
- Anaheim DucksNashville Predatorspreliminary61391The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 5:26.4
- San Jose SharksPittsburgh Penguinspreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:55.8
- Seattle KrakenCarolina Hurricanespreliminary30702The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:55.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →