AHL (American Hockey League) · Thursday, 19 November, (UTC+3)
Calgary Wranglers — Coachella Valley Firebirds
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 19 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Coachella Valley Firebirds are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.
6.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 60%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.9 and 3.1.
Facts
- League table: Calgary Wranglers — No. 18, 12 pts; Coachella Valley Firebirds — No. 22, 11 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Last 5 meetings: Calgary Wranglers 1 win, Coachella Valley Firebirds 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Calgary Wranglers — Coachella Valley Firebirds | 2.9–3.1 | |
| Calgary Wranglers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 46% | |
| Coachella Valley Firebirds to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 54% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 60% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 40% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Calgary Wranglers
- Calgary Wranglers goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 31.10Laval Rocket1:2
- 30.10Laval Rocket4:2
- 26.10away · Abbotsford Canucks2:4
- 25.10away · Abbotsford Canucks1:3
- 21.10away · Ontario Reign2:3
- 31.10Henderson Silver Knights5:1
- 29.10Tucson Roadrunners1:5
- 24.10San Jose Barracuda2:5
- 22.10away · San Diego Gulls3:2
- 19.10away · Abbotsford Canucks4:5 SO
Head to head
- 26.03.2026Coachella Valley Firebirds — Calgary Wranglers5:2
- 09.03.2026Coachella Valley Firebirds — Calgary Wranglers4:1
- 08.03.2026Coachella Valley Firebirds — Calgary Wranglers4:2
- 12.12.2025Calgary Wranglers — Coachella Valley Firebirds4:7
- 10.12.2025Calgary Wranglers — Coachella Valley Firebirds3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | San Diego Gulls | 11 | 5 | +1 | 12 | .545 |
| 18 | Calgary Wranglers | 12 | 6 | +2 | 12 | .500 |
| 19 | Hartford Wolf Pack | 13 | 6 | -4 | 13 | .500 |
| 21 | Chicago Wolves | 11 | 5 | -12 | 11 | .500 |
| 22 | Coachella Valley Firebirds | 11 | 4 | -6 | 11 | .500 |
| 23 | Providence Bruins | 11 | 5 | +8 | 10 | .455 |
AHL on the same day
- Wilkes-Barre/ScrantonMilwaukee Admiralspreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.3
- Grand Rapids GriffinsManitoba Moosepreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.7
- Syracuse CrunchRochester Americanspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.5
- Henderson Silver KnightsSan Jose Barracudapreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:26.0
- Ontario ReignAbbotsford Canuckspreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.2
- San Diego GullsBakersfield Condorspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →