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AHL (American Hockey League) · Thursday, 19 November, (UTC+3)

Henderson Silver Knights — San Jose Barracuda

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Model prediction for 19 November

Henderson Silver Knights42%
Draw in regulation21%
San Jose Barracuda37%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Henderson Silver Knights 52%, San Jose Barracuda 48% including overtime.

6.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 61%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 3.1 and 2.9.

Facts

  • League table: Henderson Silver Knights — No. 10, 12 pts; San Jose Barracuda — No. 28, 8 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Henderson Silver Knights 4 wins, San Jose Barracuda 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Henderson Silver Knights — San Jose Barracuda3.1–2.9
Henderson Silver Knights to win (incl. OT and shootout)52%
San Jose Barracuda to win (incl. OT and shootout)48%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)61%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)39%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Henderson Silver Knights
  • Henderson Silver Knights goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Henderson Silver Knights

  • 01.11away · San Diego Gulls3:2 OT
  • 31.10away · Coachella Valley Firebirds1:5
  • 29.10Ontario Reign4:1
  • 25.10Tucson Roadrunners1:4
  • 24.10Tucson Roadrunners2:1 OT

San Jose Barracuda

  • 02.11Bakersfield Condors3:2 OT
  • 29.10Abbotsford Canucks2:5
  • 25.10away · San Diego Gulls1:4
  • 24.10away · Coachella Valley Firebirds5:2
  • 17.10Calgary Wranglers5:4

Head to head

  • 25.04.2026Henderson Silver Knights — San Jose Barracuda5:1
  • 23.04.2026Henderson Silver Knights — San Jose Barracuda5:4 OT
  • 12.04.2026Henderson Silver Knights — San Jose Barracuda4:1
  • 11.04.2026Henderson Silver Knights — San Jose Barracuda9:6
  • 16.02.2026San Jose Barracuda — Henderson Silver Knights8:4

Full record: 22 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
9Colorado Eagles1162332–27+514.636
10Henderson Silver Knights1060425–23+212.600
11Cleveland Monsters1060435–36-112.600
27Rockford IceHogs1040622–30-88.400
28San Jose Barracuda1040631–43-128.400
29Bakersfield Condors931523–28-57.389

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →