AHL (American Hockey League) · Thursday, 19 November, (UTC+3)
Syracuse Crunch — Rochester Americans
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 19 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Syracuse Crunch 53%, Rochester Americans 47% including overtime.
5.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.8 and 2.7.
Facts
- League table: Syracuse Crunch — No. 16, 11 pts; Rochester Americans — No. 15, 11 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Syracuse Crunch 1 win, Rochester Americans 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Syracuse Crunch — Rochester Americans | 2.8–2.7 | |
| Syracuse Crunch to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Rochester Americans to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 52% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 48% |
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- Totals incl. OT
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- Syracuse Crunch goals
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Form
- 31.10Hamilton Hammers7:0
- 25.10away · Lehigh Valley Phantoms7:2
- 24.10Rochester Americans2:3 OT
- 22.10away · Laval Rocket1:5
- 18.10away · Hamilton Hammers4:3
- 31.10Lehigh Valley Phantoms6:3
- 29.10Hershey Bears2:3
- 24.10away · Syracuse Crunch3:2 OT
- 22.10Utica Comets3:5
- 18.10away · Syracuse Crunch2:4
Head to head
- 24.10.2026Syracuse Crunch — Rochester Americans2:3 OT
- 18.10.2026Syracuse Crunch — Rochester Americans4:2
- 10.10.2026Rochester Americans — Syracuse Crunch7:1
- 09.04.2026Syracuse Crunch — Rochester Americans2:3
- 29.03.2026Rochester Americans — Syracuse Crunch3:2 SO
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wilkes-Barre/Scranton | 10 | 5 | +10 | 11 | .550 |
| 15 | Rochester Americans | 10 | 5 | +8 | 11 | .550 |
| 16 | Syracuse Crunch | 10 | 5 | 0 | 11 | .550 |
| 17 | San Diego Gulls | 11 | 5 | +1 | 12 | .545 |
AHL on the same day
- Wilkes-Barre/ScrantonMilwaukee Admiralspreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.3
- Grand Rapids GriffinsManitoba Moosepreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.7
- Calgary WranglersCoachella Valley Firebirdspreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:46.0
- Henderson Silver KnightsSan Jose Barracudapreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:26.0
- Ontario ReignAbbotsford Canuckspreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.2
- San Diego GullsBakersfield Condorspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →