AHL (American Hockey League) · Thursday, 19 November, (UTC+3)
San Diego Gulls — Bakersfield Condors
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 19 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
San Diego Gulls are favourites: 53% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.5 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.8 and 2.6.
Facts
- League table: San Diego Gulls — No. 17, 12 pts; Bakersfield Condors — No. 29, 7 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: San Diego Gulls 3 wins, Bakersfield Condors 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: San Diego Gulls — Bakersfield Condors | 2.8–2.6 | |
| San Diego Gulls to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Bakersfield Condors to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 51% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap San Diego Gulls
- San Diego Gulls goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 02.11Colorado Eagles3:2 SO
- 01.11Henderson Silver Knights2:3 OT
- 25.10San Jose Barracuda4:1
- 22.10Coachella Valley Firebirds2:3
- 18.10away · Tucson Roadrunners3:2 OT
- 02.11away · San Jose Barracuda2:3 OT
- 31.10Abbotsford Canucks1:5
- 25.10away · Colorado Eagles4:1
- 24.10away · Colorado Eagles1:4
- 18.10Calgary Wranglers3:4
Head to head
- 12.04.2026Bakersfield Condors — San Diego Gulls3:7
- 11.04.2026Bakersfield Condors — San Diego Gulls5:3
- 04.04.2026San Diego Gulls — Bakersfield Condors6:3
- 21.03.2026San Diego Gulls — Bakersfield Condors7:4
- 15.02.2026San Diego Gulls — Bakersfield Condors4:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Syracuse Crunch | 10 | 5 | 0 | 11 | .550 |
| 17 | San Diego Gulls | 11 | 5 | +1 | 12 | .545 |
| 18 | Calgary Wranglers | 12 | 6 | +2 | 12 | .500 |
| 28 | San Jose Barracuda | 10 | 4 | -12 | 8 | .400 |
| 29 | Bakersfield Condors | 9 | 3 | -5 | 7 | .389 |
| 30 | Iowa Wild | 12 | 3 | -8 | 9 | .375 |
AHL on the same day
- Wilkes-Barre/ScrantonMilwaukee Admiralspreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.3
- Grand Rapids GriffinsManitoba Moosepreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.7
- Syracuse CrunchRochester Americanspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.5
- Calgary WranglersCoachella Valley Firebirdspreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:46.0
- Henderson Silver KnightsSan Jose Barracudapreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:26.0
- Ontario ReignAbbotsford Canuckspreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →