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AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)

Colorado Eagles — Grand Rapids Griffins

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Model prediction for 22 November

Colorado Eagles42%
Draw in regulation22%
Grand Rapids Griffins37%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Colorado Eagles 53%, Grand Rapids Griffins 47% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.7 and 2.6.

Facts

  • League table: Colorado Eagles — No. 9, 14 pts; Grand Rapids Griffins — No. 1, 18 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Colorado Eagles 4 wins, Grand Rapids Griffins 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Colorado Eagles — Grand Rapids Griffins2.7–2.6
Colorado Eagles to win (incl. OT and shootout)53%
Grand Rapids Griffins to win (incl. OT and shootout)47%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)48%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)52%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Colorado Eagles
  • Colorado Eagles goals
  • Overtime chance
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Form

Colorado Eagles

  • 02.11away · San Diego Gulls2:3 SO
  • 29.10Charlotte Checkers3:0
  • 28.10Charlotte Checkers3:6
  • 25.10Bakersfield Condors1:4
  • 24.10Bakersfield Condors4:1

Grand Rapids Griffins

  • 02.11away · Chicago Wolves5:1
  • 25.10Cleveland Monsters5:2
  • 24.10Cleveland Monsters2:3 SO
  • 22.10Manitoba Moose4:3
  • 18.10Rockford IceHogs5:1

Head to head

  • 02.02.2025Grand Rapids Griffins — Colorado Eagles0:6
  • 01.02.2025Grand Rapids Griffins — Colorado Eagles0:2
  • 15.12.2024Colorado Eagles — Grand Rapids Griffins2:3 SO
  • 14.12.2024Colorado Eagles — Grand Rapids Griffins4:2
  • 22.10.2023Colorado Eagles — Grand Rapids Griffins2:1

Full record: 8 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
1Grand Rapids Griffins1182142–25+1718.818
2Abbotsford Canucks1071240–28+1215.750
8Charlotte Checkers1280438–32+616.667
9Colorado Eagles1162332–27+514.636
10Henderson Silver Knights1060425–23+212.600

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →