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DEL (German hockey league) · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)

Eisbaren Berlin — Frankfurt Lowen

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Model prediction for 24 November

Eisbaren Berlin60%
Draw in regulation19%
Frankfurt Lowen20%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Eisbaren Berlin are clear favourites: 72% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.1 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 44%.

Why

  • Eisbaren Berlin are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 1.9.

Facts

  • League table: Eisbaren Berlin — No. 1, 32 pts; Frankfurt Lowen — No. 10, 17 pts. A gap of 15 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Eisbaren Berlin 3 wins, Frankfurt Lowen 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Eisbaren Berlin — Frankfurt Lowen3.1–1.9
Eisbaren Berlin to win (incl. OT and shootout)72%
Frankfurt Lowen to win (incl. OT and shootout)28%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)44%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)56%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Eisbaren Berlin
  • Eisbaren Berlin goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Eisbaren Berlin

  • 01.11Adler Mannheim1:3
  • 30.10away · ERC Ingolstadt5:3
  • 25.10away · Schwenninger4:1
  • 23.10Augsburger Panther2:1
  • 18.10away · Krefeld Pinguine4:0

Frankfurt Lowen

  • 01.11ERC Ingolstadt5:2
  • 29.10away · Augsburger Panther2:3 OT
  • 25.10Grizzly Wolfsburg1:2 SO
  • 23.10away · Adler Mannheim0:3
  • 18.10Iserlohn Roosters4:1

Head to head

  • 02.10.2026Frankfurt Lowen — Eisbaren Berlin0:2
  • 25.01.2026Frankfurt Lowen — Eisbaren Berlin4:1
  • 02.01.2026Eisbaren Berlin — Frankfurt Lowen2:3
  • 16.11.2025Eisbaren Berlin — Frankfurt Lowen4:2
  • 10.10.2025Frankfurt Lowen — Eisbaren Berlin2:3 SO

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsEisbaren Berlin141010350–24+2632
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsAdler Mannheim15822353–38+1530
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsBremerhaven14601732–37-519
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsFrankfurt Lowen14413632–33-117
11Krefeld Pinguine15502838–45-717

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

DEL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →