DEL (German hockey league) · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)
ERC Ingolstadt — Bremerhaven
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
ERC Ingolstadt are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.
Why
- ERC Ingolstadt are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.5.
Facts
- League table: ERC Ingolstadt — No. 7, 20 pts; Bremerhaven — No. 9, 19 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- ERC Ingolstadt: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: ERC Ingolstadt 2 wins, Bremerhaven 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: ERC Ingolstadt — Bremerhaven | 2.8–2.5 | |
| ERC Ingolstadt to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 55% | |
| Bremerhaven to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 45% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 49% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap ERC Ingolstadt
- ERC Ingolstadt goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 01.11away · Frankfurt Lowen2:5
- 30.10Eisbaren Berlin3:5
- 25.10away · Bremerhaven2:6
- 23.10away · Grizzly Wolfsburg4:1
- 20.10Grizzly Wolfsburg3:2
- 01.11Straubing Tigers5:2
- 30.10away · Adler Mannheim3:4 OT
- 25.10ERC Ingolstadt6:2
- 23.10away · Schwenninger2:4
- 18.10away · Kolner1:4
Head to head
- 25.10.2026Bremerhaven — ERC Ingolstadt6:2
- 06.03.2026Bremerhaven — ERC Ingolstadt2:3
- 02.01.2026ERC Ingolstadt — Bremerhaven2:3
- 23.11.2025ERC Ingolstadt — Bremerhaven5:2
- 28.09.2025Bremerhaven — ERC Ingolstadt5:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Kolner | 15 | 6 | +4 | 25 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | ERC Ingolstadt | 15 | 5 | -8 | 20 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Augsburger Panther | 14 | 5 | +1 | 19 |
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Bremerhaven | 14 | 6 | -5 | 19 |
| 10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Frankfurt Lowen | 14 | 4 | -1 | 17 |
DEL on the same day
- Augsburger PantherKrefeld Pinguinepreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.7
- Eisbaren BerlinFrankfurt Lowenpreliminary72281The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 3:15.1
- KolnerNurnberg Ice Tigerspreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:26.0
- Straubing TigersAdler Mannheimpreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →